I agree on that...just analyzing the surface fronto aspect. Need to watch residence time of front N of me, too....hopefully its short. This will be a really enjoyable event for me....as long as it doesn't camp out over Salem, NH until 1pm tomorrow lol
The cold is is more prominent and settled in across NNE, so I feel like the best surface fronto will be over SE NH and SW ME. My area should get some, but best naked twister is probably north of me because there is more of a gradient there.
Yea, even as a hobbyist that is frustrating, so I can only imagine as a pro....when people hold you to every reaction to every piece of data that rolls in. I just said yesterday, only thing that matters is what I blog.
I notice that the EURO and NAM both place the primary H85 low across the southern end of lake Ontario now...looks like they ultimately compromised on that vort placement.
I agree the NAM was crap...all I mean is some of the other guidance will tic north and compromise some. I think the south trend is done, save for the NAM.