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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Absolutely....it can track up the coast and gives us a breezy deluge, or it can track near/off of the coast and be a good nor' easter, but it isn't going to hit dead on as a hurricane. Will some models threaten with that? Probably.
  2. Its crazy how many knowledgeable people just can't wrap their minds around the fact that a tropical system skirting SNE to the east is NBD in terms of wind. They see the pretty picture with the low near the cape and just lose their minds. This system as no chance to do what people are hoping it does.
  3. 1.14" on the day...4.30" on the month. Definite improvement.
  4. Totally. Those parabolic recurves are useless. This is not a NE storm.
  5. La nina will be dying by the latter portion of winter. I don't really see the progress with the subsurface...nor worried about it. I think the ceiling is -1.2 SON ONI.
  6. Yea, I remember us having this same conversation last month and frankly, I don't see that anything has changed. I expect a similar outcome.
  7. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/enso-continues-to-stagnate-as-winter.html
  8. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/enso-continues-to-stagnate-as-winter.html
  9. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/enso-continues-to-stagnate-as-winter.html
  10. I can't get away with that anymore...mine are too bad. I miss it. I wonder if @Great Snow 1717has a meme for this?
  11. He waits for Allison to look away, and quickly pulls the blanket up over his grape to "savor the flavor"...
  12. For real? Never know with that guy...
  13. I think its an E GOM deal, too, but I wouldn't rule out some interaction with the northern Yucatan or western Cuba....all I'm saying.
  14. Yea, sit tight...that's my next blog post.
  15. My fear all along...or worse yet, central America...what a waste.
  16. The guidance for this one reminds me of Ivan. hurricane ivan - Google Search
  17. Not hijacking at all....its relevant, as it relates to the tropics.
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