I wasn't calling Tom out and he owes us nothing.....allowing us the privilege of reading his work over the past several years was a real gift. I was simply speculating on the rationale as to why he abruptly stopped not only contributing weather insight, but any type of engagement whatsoever. Just thought it was strange to suddenly go mute and lurk....wasn't meant to be an indictment.
I don't argue your point, but the shearing last December was the result of a record RNA abutting a solid NAO block. That would have sheared on Ginxy's great, great, great, great, great grand dogs back in 1633.
Lucky you weren't allergic that could have been bad. I got stung by one yellow jacket as a kid, and I had to go to the ER because my hand blew up. If I had gotten stung 14 times, I would have been in serious peril.
I'm not sure this research really offers any new findings.....+QBO/la nina correlate to a stronger PV, and -QBO/la nina to a weaker PV, but as last season illustrated, this is but one piece to the puzzle.
I'm just at wit's end with boring dating back to last winter.....the season ended with a whimper, then we can't so much as buy a rain drop or even any viable tropical entity, threat to land be damned.
I'm just in complete "believe when see" mode with respect to the tropics right now. I don't care to look, or even discuss any model output and you frankly couldn't pay me two give a rat's ass until something actually develops and is flourishing on the map in real time. I just have no interest in the latest 240 hour artifact of your laptop whipping up the virtual Gulf.
Usually its not a big deal because SSTs are very malleable, but maybe early in the season the coast has a bit more trouble than usual...it should also aid baroclinicity.
In the past when that was the case, people just said that. You would also think maybe his blog would go paywall for something, but just abandoned.
Strange.