40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, I am not worried about the 12z GFS given the pattern.
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NBD
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Kind of, but not entirely. It depends on the exact positioning. There is a general relationship...
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Not entirely.....the block plays a role, as well.
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You may have runs that, to use your term, "overmagnify" said dampening, as well. Like this one. Obviously is more runs consistently depict this, then it warrants more considerations, but toss it attm.
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Ensembles will probably be north. Don' buy that at this stage.
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Which is why I was excited for SWFE, but if it becomes a coastal that tracks too close, then I'm screwed.
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Just so sick of it....can't win. And don't give me the BS about it being December because its been going on for years....just picks up where one season left off with the rusty screw-driver right up the rear.
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If I get skunked Monday to the sw, then get killed by easterly flow Friday, then I am going to really put on a show.
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Not necessarily.....guidance is still adjusting to the block.
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I let go of this 2 days ago.
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Really? Okay, let me rethink things. Still blows.
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Hopefully we can keep Friday waaaaaay NW of where I live.
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Oh boy...between the circle jerk waaaaay se of where I live, and the instability waaaaaaay sw of where I live, I feel a very comforting sense of continuity from the past several years. Why? Because its Ground Hog Day.
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Yea, you can always drop the "B" bomb once it is clear within a day or two...going there at one week lead is inviting large error...especially in a situation that has and continues to be in such flux. -
I feel as though its a 50/50 proposition that we are all buried alive
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Gotcha. Figured I was missing something...so you don't mean similar in terms of evolution, but rather the similarity with respect to that particular point in the respective lifecycles.
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Yea, that's right.
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No...that was 12/13/2007. 12/9/2005 ripped a whole in the earth near the Buzzards Bay/canal. I jacked in that with like 16".
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I mean crappy posts lead to 5PPD
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That was a Miller A that came out of the GOM.....not sure I agree....
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I got it along with a second covid booster in like October.
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PNA should trend towards neutral during the second half of December and perhaps some outright +PNA in January....couple that with a reoccurrence of NAO and the mid Atl should join the fray before we thaw.
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FLU FTW
