40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Maybe they forget it was also one of the coldest/snowiest decades in history for the east?
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He'd probably write it over about one summer of coc k.
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If he starts buying you brews at the GTG, you know whassup.
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I was gonna say...that is all you.
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There is no question CC is impacting everything, but the issue is that its extraordinarily difficult to assign proper attribution ratios, aside from maybe surface temp.
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Well, I think the subsurface does dictate the pattern indirectly speaking due to the fact that it modulates the sea surface given a favorable wind direction to facilitate upwelling....its all one giant feedback, clearly.
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While there is undoubtedly CC at play, the impact of weaker ENSO events has always been more diverse and diffuse.
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The only SSTs I even mention are ENSO....even the fabled N ATL tripole is overrated IMO....I think its a more worthwhile endeavor to study the subsruface.
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The point is many la nina seasons have a latitudinal gradient, so that is not the case.
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Yea, these are the nuances that can cause a shitty several years, which I have seen, though I know that not everyone has, regionally.
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All things being equal, I would still prefer el nino and and definitely pretty sick of cool ENSO, at this point.
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@ORH_wxman, do you have a link for the latest version of this Hovmoller?
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Yea, I have never understood the obsession with non-ENSO ssts....its relatively trivial.
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Toting the swampiest ass that has ever swamped....just leaving trails like a snail everywhere.
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Its not a done deal until the house considers it.
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He is, but if you read his work, it specifies that the +5ish warmth will be localized. His actual analog composite isn't that warm....the localized +5 crap was the hand drawn map.
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snowman's protégé
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DM 2020-2021 was just about normal...a bit above NNE. DM 2017-2018 was normal to slightly below.
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31.5 again last night....visible frost...already been several.
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Doubt that.
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I just mean that the second half was lame. Obviously the ones that hang on well into January are the real winners. I think the key is get a PNA to take a handoff from the NAO, and/or a combo of really favorable EPO ridge/good timing.
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1984 is another notable exception...
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Most la nina seasons do...even 2010-2011 did. Same with 2008-2009. The 1996, 2001 and 2018's are tough to come by.
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I would happily sign up for that winter where I am...probably pulled like 85" with a near 30" pack in December.
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Part of me is glad you're not god, yet part of me wants you anointed ASAP. Hopefully this trend keeps up into winter, like Will said. You would think that something has to give with all of the water vapor in the air/very warm hemispheric SSTs coupled with how dry it was this past summer. There is so much latent energy both at the surface and in the atmosphere; lets light some damn matches-
