40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Is it safe? Are we through the desprssive episode in here and back to mania? Because guess what...its going to snow this month, and probably a good deal for most of us.
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Look how weak the positive anomalies are near S America...
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With an ENSO event that strong, they are just about always basinwide by strict definition...that is about as west biased as you will ever see at that intensity. Text book modoki. Check our of VP from that season that I posted in my last blog update..
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09-10 was def west based...even though it was basin wide
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Define transient....Feb return of RNA?
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Good advice anyday.
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@STILL N OF PIKEDifference is that I attributed it more to general RNA, as opposed to ridge positioning once the PNA built in. I didn't think that that major low would end up screwing us as horribly as it did in the longer term. I was very happy with my medium and short range effort
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I cited back in November that it would be an up and in look for December, but I just didn't expect next to nothing within 50mi of the coast.
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Looks realistic....crushes you and fringes me. UK is the last 5 years in a nutshell.
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Which 5 were west based? 14-15, 09-10, 04-05, 02-03 and either 77-78 or 57-58?
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Good.
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We also have good patterns that don't have anything wrong with them and just fail to produce.
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Right, but all I'm saying is that the pattern that people were excited about materialized for the most part. We got a huge NAO block and the PNA went positive. Details like the ridge being a bit too far to the west and the PV getting stuck out there are details you worry about closer in.
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Pattern didn't suck at all. The resultant snowfall in our back yards did
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I give it a D with 2" on the month...not an F because at least I got a coating the night before xmas eve and xmas didn't torch.
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Agree.
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I'm just laying naked under the Christmas tree...mistletoe toe directly over head and no one insight except for the KU book
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Hey, I admitted yesterday it's a reach...but that is the luxury of not having your living depend on this stuff...you can have some fun and not be so close to the vest.
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@Ji
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A watch requires an adjustment?
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Most storms fall somewhere along a Miller A/B hybrid continuum. All I meant in my blog is that I don't think they will close off in the GOM.
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I ignored the EPS in my blog yesterday.
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Ironically enough...there was a bit more blocking during December than I had expected, yet we ended up witha little less snow relative to my expectation near the coast. Strange month...
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HECS watch this month.
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Yea, I at least let New Year's pass...
