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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    2019.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any pigs this season will be drive bys.....its not going to be the type of season where they plant on your face and squeal for two months.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will be nice to get this piece of crap system this weekend out of the way, regardless of what happens. This was one of those systems that I despise because it was always clear as day to me that nothing interesting in terms of winter weather for SNE was going to materialize, but you still have to hear about the damn thing for the better part of a week+. Bonafide threat season begins after that thing passes, though early December will be an uphill battle for SNE.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    15.3 for the low.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Non-event for SNE.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doubt the NARCAN would have that.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not interested. I agree it's a NNE threat.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, let's root for snow with a primary near James Bay.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    No. I had a board. I took pics of a garbage can topped with snow.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yikes. I came out of my two-week outlook cacoon and went straight on vaca, so I missed that.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wasn't it a no-brainer that it was going to turn colder in November? I don't get the victory laps and kudos. Who doubted that?
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am a fan of the 6 hourly swipe...but I also have no issue distinguishing between total snowfall and max/current depth.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am so sick of the inconsistency with respect to snowfall measuring.....I had my 31.5" jack tossed in March 2018 after employing the same, exact technique and they took depth measurements, instead. But when it comes to a lake effect circle jerk, they all derobe to the big 22.7" discrepancy between max depth and 6 hourly swipes. I had a 6.5" gap and it was tossed. What a joke.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks for chiming in, Matt...love your stuff. The neg IOD and la nina should both relinquish their grip relatively early, per my research, since this is a stagnant la nina that has carried over from last year. They have more staying power when the atmospheric dynamics that foster the development of the ENSO-IOD development and coupling are still maturing, as opposed to largely an atmospheric imprint of last year's state.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Completely on the same page.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    And hips...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree, but the increasingly stout solar was part of my rationale, in addition to 2001 popping up as a sensible analog. I'm not worried about a furnace.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    The pig making an appearance isn't the end of the world, though scary, yes. My sensible analog composite doubled up on 2001-2002, so that wouldn't suprise me. I am confident that it won't be a permanent fixture like it was that season, but I did call for a slightly positive seasonal EPO in the mean because those RNA periods have us playing with fire with respect to getting those lower heights in the vicinity of AK at times. I wouldn't worry too much, but those December 2009 calls by some were dumb IMO.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a a serviceable SWFE type second half after a bleh first half. I had a good January.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can work later in the month, but it's tough to score in a less than pristine pattern with hostile climo.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Temper tantrums over a failed Tday threat lol
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Rain vs rain.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't expect much until like second week of month
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a mild early month of December, transition to a colder gradient look as the month aged. RNA is the word of the day for December.
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