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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is like .6 to .7 for next update and probably peaking at like 1.1 to 1.2
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    mreaves with the hammer today.....spiked maple syrup?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    First in-season blog probably imminent this week.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I probably did okay where I am now relative to where I was in that second one.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    NE wind here isn't as big a deal as it is a bit further south in Wilmington, as the angle of the coast is sharper with latitude.....its the east and SE winds, like these first couple events, that still kill me this far north.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't rule it out.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the first nice winter period for the east will coincide with that final el Nino flex later in December, as the MJO constructively interferes with its development while in phases 8, 1 and 2.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    MEI should have a good jump this month.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    No need to bore him because I'm sure he knows that cold winter time MJO phases are warm in the fall.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would say our areas have equal chances...my latitude helps, but I'm also closer to the ocean....though with a good high placement, my area may have a slight edge.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could live with that....it doesn't need to be 20" to 5" like 12/92.....I can deal with "10-3"....I've come a long way in my willingness to share the wealth.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the type of pattern where a system can pop at day 2 or 3....regardless of rain vs snow.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Visibility 1/10 of a mile in blowing indifference.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Must be a troll job...I know he can't be that clueless.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll be praying for the summit of Deer Scrotum a few miles over yonder from Berkshire park.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is correctable.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have yet to see a flake, aside from some the ones I'll observe on Saturday.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, okay...you originally had from 1.97 to 1.98. NP.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    No we aren't....designations are obtained via ONI.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay, sure. I agree....there is a reason why even Modoki el Nino events are often fairly mild in December. All I am saying is that I do not foresee prohibitive warmth for the month of December in the aggregate.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It just snowed over interior SNE last week and ski season is underway. You do have a firm grasp of coastal plane climo, correct? Its still November...
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, God bless, chief.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    You mean rose?
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    This makes zero sense. The convective forcing pattern has been fairly similar to years such as 1965, 1986 (also developed late) and 2009, which also had less pronounced Pacific dipoles and the eastern US did just fine in the snowfall department.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good thing I didn't say that. The atmosphere will respond, sure, just not as much as did in other instances of a 1.9+ ONI....the response will be different.
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