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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, probably....some runs have 960s, but that is pretty extreme.
  2. Yea, ensembles have trending more intense...I was looking at it from a LBSW standpoint. Agree.
  3. EPS looks a bit more progressive, as it moves it away from the cape a bit faster....that is a trend you usually see in these scenarios.
  4. The mean looks a hair more tucked to me, but its really noise-like.
  5. Exactly what I have been saying. Kev, just commenting on UK QPF verbatim...not worried about it, but its a big haircut over much of the area relative to other guidance.
  6. He keeps dropping in here and engaging in NYC centric wishcasting.
  7. Totally hear you...usually phases screw up. This is why I didn't mind the amed crap much...I expected this.
  8. As soon as I saw you had posted, I knew you would have a negative interpretation lol
  9. No changes to my thought process, but changes to the EURO, as expected.... Very busy day for me tmw unless this unexpectedly shits the bed tonight.
  10. It won't. Its ultimately either going to cluster to the east or west.
  11. My thoughts are that that the mean is dragged west by: 1) OTS members disappearing 2) Inland members diverging from the OP by phasing faster around the day 4 window, which is near the window when OP should be waited more. I still think this is big snows, but if EPS goes west again, then that probably changes.
  12. Its readily apparent on that H5 GIF that the EPS is more phased sooner than the OP.
  13. That is so infuriating...OP always goes opposite direction of ensembles. That is disconcerting.
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