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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just like your famous "nickles and dimes" proclamation in mid January 2015....
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The March block is coming, AIT dating back to last fall, and I'll bet against two of them whiffing in one season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    41.9 down from a hi of 59.7
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    People are so petrified that every mention of a favorable analog or acronym needs to be qualified by some tempered language expressing an understanding of the fact that it won't snow, regardless...just because. Fu@k that...I think it's going to snow this March, and probably a lot.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Check out the 928mb EPS member just se of ACK to close out Feb on 2/28.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one ever resisted the idea that late February was tenuous.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    54.1
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Calling out sick
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't noticed it out this way..
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    2018 was actually a touch more negative...but they are both negative.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not a neutral PNA.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can agree to disagree, Scott...but 1956 is a better match IMO.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    It would be better to use 1951-2010 as a base period, but I would need to look up the link for that site.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. This is why I liked 1956 more than 2018...not that we are necessarily getting 50". Just as one vs the other.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would view 1956 on the site that allows you to use 1951-2010 was a base climo period. That outcome is possible IMO...but yea, it's always dangerous to expect it.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't assessed it too much, but why do you say that? The very warm February? I think 1956 had more of an RNA...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    The block is coming IMO...two ways we can get porked. Some flukey crap with the PV, like December, or more likely via compression between the block and any RNA derived se ridging.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It had one moderate snow event, but it was very warm with a SSW within 5 days of this one. There was an 80 degree day in SNE.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not using it as an analog...I'm just trying to explain what a late-blooming Miller B pattern looks like. I'm pretty happy with my Feb 2018 analog this month.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    For those who are confused enough to use peepers as a means of long range forecasting, take a look st Feb 1969 H5.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    It probably hugs and crushes WNE.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been a few of those runs lately from what I have read on here...I'm not looking yet, though.
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