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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, puff, puff pass on that...I'd rather risk precip type issues.
  2. Yes, fair enough. I don't care to have the heart of the cold personally...not to distract from the fact that these SSW events are not fail safe. There is risk.
  3. I think we can put to bed the idea that Tonga was going to cause a ++AO...at least for those few who weren't convinced after last year.
  4. The frigid patterns tend to promote more CJs, too.
  5. Yea, this is of more benefit to February.
  6. Why would you want the PV lobe over NE? I have no interest in January 2004.
  7. If we ever 5 PPD weenies, then he would need a new outlet lol
  8. My 12/25 to Jan 8 window may work out, afterall. Now we need to watch exactly how it plays out because the devil is in the details with these things, but I have a feeling all hell will break loose for February.
  9. That is expected...the pattern will shift serviceable, not great, for a couple of weeks before another mild stretch.
  10. Funny, max snow increases overlay just about exactly with the largest temp iump.
  11. I agree with this. I do not expect a cold month and won't be suprised if it ends up underwhelming in terms of eastern snowfall.... I think it will be serviceable in the mean.
  12. I don't understand exactly how is manifests as far as dictating who benefits, but I do understand how to determine whether one will take place on a seasonal level. I've done it several times now over the past decade and look to again this year.
  13. Oh, ok...great event, I just didn't view it as a blizzard. Not to get into semantics....
  14. People also over attribute it to big snow and cold in the NE.. like ENSO, they come in all different varieities.
  15. Not if you understand it. Worked out great last year...MBY not withstanding.
  16. Its coming....how much we benefit from it remains to be seen, but this was obvious to me since August.
  17. Allsnow is just as biased as snowman, but he contributes more so it flies under the radar. You learn alot by following emoji patterns....its like a stream of consciousness whereas they veil it more in posts. Look at a guy like Bluewave, while you may not love what he shares, he won't weenie any post that implies winter still exists.
  18. It doesn't need to be February 2015 to snow....people are getting carried away quoting fortune cookies and all. I still think I'm on the right track.
  19. Pattern recognition is one thing, but I'm not sure Canada was exceedingly warm last fall when most outlooks were issued. It's also only problematic if one was expecting a cold winter, which no one was to my knowledge. It doesn't preclude being just cold enough to snow in the second half.
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