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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. This is where I think its headed....GFS inverted psychosis not withstanding...
  2. The inverted crap is in intermediary, provisional solution along guidance's journey of reconciling current model struggles with what will actually happen. I suspect either late-bloom blizzard or fizzle event with a graze east. Probably former IMO
  3. Lol imagine if the s stream was just an artifact of modeling all along....waa wa waaaaaa
  4. Its the NAM....I'd prefer it be a favorable track and let it resolve dynamics later.
  5. What I like is that despite the surprising lack of consensus right now relative to the range, the only guidance that really porks me is the GEM/RGEM and ICON....I mean, those are probably the ones that I would forego having in my corner if afforded the choice.
  6. Its been generally east past 24 hours...kind of a stair step...two forward, one back.
  7. Yea, looks good....I broad brused 1-2' over CT on the first map just to comvey uncertainty about H7 banding....but I guarantee final one won't remain that coarse.
  8. Admire the commitment to limiting QPF in Methuen by whatever means possible-
  9. I have been blogging for 9 years, and this is the most difficult event I have seen.
  10. Its just a first call....but I also feel like intense H7 fronto may offset some the downslope down there. Look at the CTRV in Feb 2001...nuking mid levels can remedy alot of atmospheric short comings.
  11. Man, 1' on a mean is nuts...granted I'm not getting 10:1, but still...
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