40/70 Benchmark

Who?

Major Storm Potential Looks Next Weekend Protracted Ordeal Possible Thus far in the early going, the month of March is setting a feverish pace to the regional weather, and early indications are that this may continue next weekend. Cross Ensemble Consensus Supported by Teleconnector Convergence All three major ensemble camps are in agreement that a potent piece of Pacific energy is gong to eject out of the western US over the course of the coming week, and is likely to become virtually pinned under a very congested north atlantic pattern next weekend. EPS: GEFS: GEPS (Canadien): While it is an entirely fruitless endeavor to discuss specifics at this time, this is the type of regime that has bred very intense winter storms in the past, most notably March of 1956, which is a season that has been referenced frequently as a potential late season analog. The potential period of interest is also coincides with a period of mass flux that is evident among both the Pacific: And arctic domain spaces: Which bolsters confidence that this time frame as it increased risk for a major event because this is the type of mass flux on a hemispheric scale that often triggers many of the regions most prolific winter storms. Stay tuned for updates later this week if deemed appropriate.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/major-storm-potential-looks-next-weekend.html

As Gerry has said, that timeframe is actually a better fit for the March 1956 analog, which got cranking mid month.

Ironically enough, the EPS has snowfall map accurately reflects where the deform band would be on that weenie OP run.

Euro says deal. Man...Sat night to Sunday AM. What a long, drawn out affair.

What a pants tent plot....holy shit, I'd eat the entire contents of my diaper genie to hold that.

Hi.

That OP run would deform from near ORH to me....but best fronto band probably bear NYC and N NJ

Looks good

Great forecast...just wish I had gone 8-12" in the Berkshires, instead of 6-10". https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/friday-night-saturday-winter-storm-very.html FINAL GRADE: A

Friday Night-Saturday Winter Storm Very Well Forecast Here is the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call forecast map for the winter storm that concluded earlier today. Although the very marginal thermal profile around the region made this forecast particularly challenging, Eastern Mass Weather was up for this challenge in this instance. Note the similarities between the above forecast and what actually took place. Two relatively minor forecast imperfections being isolated amounts of up to a 1' in the Berkshires, where the upper bounds was only 10", and interior southeastern NH, where an extension of the 6-10" over the Monadnocks may have been more representative. FINAL GRADE: A

I'll take a first look at it early this work week...things aren't always as they appear, as a lot of the board was convinced today was a cutter when I called BS on that Tuesday AM.

Yea, my driveway was coated up again tonight.

Yea, I'm just speaking generally...not worried about this specifics on this right now.

+5.5" 33".

I'd preferably like the transfer off of about central Jersey...then explode from there.

I'd feel better if it were the EURO burying that energy

33" on the season.

5.5" final. My 4-8" range was good.

I have 32".

Whiff, but good enough, at this stage.

Suprised you did so much better than I did...shows it wasn't just elevation, but marine influence that kept things in check here, relatively speaking.

This redeemed itself somewhat here this AM...4.5" and S+...great growth. 33.4

Yes.