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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    QPF is always overdone when the mid level center is weakening and/or tracking west. I learned that in the early March 2009 system....clown maps kept trying to lay down like 18" and it ended up being like half of that.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Puts down about 11" here.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends....
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you have some elevation, then Kuchera may have some validity...but it can struggle with picking up mid level warmth.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    The dry slot will race in, too.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    NAM is never, ever too warm in the mid levels. Not a good sign.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, well there is a reason we are only getting like 2".
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never want LBSW or LBW.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    And Euro. Skunked ULL....beware.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    2am....eh.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will nail it...always does.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I won't go in...I'm on ob duty tomorrow night...unless it looks lame, then I'll crash and work.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am right at the N edge of that IP shield.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the GFS for ne MA...better central MA.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am sick of being too aggressive with seasonal and storm forecasts...its a sign I need to be more conservative when signals are mixed.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's why it's best to go light with the forecast.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a given.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    From here on out, trends on that will be important.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Colder or warmer trend?
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel good about my forecast for some accumulations here....I went with about 2-3" and even the EURO +SDC has me at 2".
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Decent shot at second....which is Jan 16 at........ 3.5"
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Apology not accepted.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is nuts...literally razor's edge here.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I remember I posted earlier today that I was surprised we hadn't seen any runs take on a SWFE appeal as of yet...18z GFS just took care of that.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's like Jan 7...I am staying up for that. If it looks like it will bust, then I'll just bail and pass out.
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