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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. GEPS is the same general theme and the GEFS is more of a gradient pattern.
  2. I see no issue to start February.....EPS and GEPS look great and the GEFS is more of a gradient look that can work in SNE with a cold Canada.
  3. No way. The only area I am somewhat worried about is coastal SNE....for everyone else normal is well within reach, but even for coastal SNE. People become mired in these negative thought patterns when it isn't snowing much and it impacts their ability to objectively assess how quickly 1-2 large events and a few minors can change things.
  4. Yea, we are probably a couple of inches below normal....not much.
  5. Noted, but I'll hedge against that. The progression of the MJO has been underplayed all season.
  6. February 1996 was the only month that was meh where I am that season. December, January, March and even April rocked.
  7. Which is very comforting from about my area points north, but I know it usually takes more than that there. Hopefully we can catch a few breaks.....or one big one. lol
  8. I don't know....maybe, but I have seen set ups like that in the past that have been very fruitful. We'll see.
  9. I remember people were saying the same thing back in December, but the progression of the MJO has been underestimated all season...granted, December was still a blood bath, but that isn't the point. The MJO never stalled.
  10. January never looked like wall-to-wall snow/cold to me. It has been warmer than I thought though, admittedly.
  11. What is wrong with this? I think someone kicked the can into your grape lol
  12. Why? I haven't looked at much long range lately with the more active short/medium range.
  13. One big event will hit my range for CPK.
  14. I hope that event ramps up into something decent for NYC...I need numbers down the coast.
  15. Yea, I'm not too worried about February, just speaking of the balance of January....the pattern should flip back by the end of the month. January has been pretty good in my area, but kind of disappointing on a regional level. I expected the coast to struggle, but I thought that they would have more than this.
  16. Looks like Tuesday night is the next crack at a couple of inches, but we're onto February for anything overly impactful.
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