40/70 Benchmark

EPS looks better, too...not really closer, but develops faster.

That storm looks like something from the 1993-1994 season....scooter snorting OES lines off of my corpse.

That is the storm.....it phases faster...gets us with a good CJ focused storm, then blows up in the Maritimes.

Moderate as is, but not far from orgasmic.

The whole system is more negatively oriented and coalesces faster.

This

That is one ominous trend from 12z.

This to me looks like the model struggling to congeal those parcels of energy.....really odd with multiple low pressure centers bounding around. I doubt it works out like that....this is fluid. I think we'll end up with a pretty good event.

Looks like one of those deals that funnels down drier air from ME right into MBY...pickles will love that if it sticks around.

Storm is back....

I like the ridge out west a bit better this run.

Would be time to find a new hobby.

Oh, I thought he meant ONI peak and monthly temps in the US.

First Call https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/01/first-call-for-light-snows-tuesday.html

First Call for Light Snows Tuesday; Larger Potential Looms Next Weekend Manageable Snows Overnight Tuesday Synoptic Overview This weekend's rain storm is becoming stuck underneath the negative NAO block, which will allow it to act as a polar vortex lobe. A modest piece of vorticity (energy) will rotate around the southern periphery of this system and trigger a round of light to potentially moderate snowfall overnight Tuesday. Anticipated Storm Evolution: Light snow or flurries should break out over southern portions of the region during the afternoon into the early evening. And become occasionally moderate overnight Tuesday night across the southeastern half of Southern New England. Before beginning to taper off after midnight and during the predawn hours of early Wednesday morning. And ending prior to the Wednesday AM commute. While it the Wednesday AM commute should be manageable, it would be wise to afford oneself some extra time. FIRST CALL: Looking Ahead to Potential Weekend Storm After the period of snowfall Tuesday night passes, all eyes shift to late next week into the weekend, as the PV lobe splits and a 50/50 low and potential east coast storm.

I would say C- IMBY, so far.

He is a passive aggressive antagonist....his position will usually be whatever he feels as though the majority doesn't want to hear.

Yes...my post was redundant....my bad. Hadn't seen this.

That's like an inverted trough deal...usually not a final solution, but rather a provisional "blink" preluding a larger move.

Agree. I'm just frustrated from a regional perspective....I know MBY has been lucky, though it does suck that its all been wiped so quickly.

I just took a breather.

John, there a few asses (not you Luke, I now it was in jest) in a sea of quality weather enthusiasts. I'm dealing with the same crap..don't let it detract from your enjoyment of the site. Your contributions are appreciated.

The funniest part is that I actually came up with my DM forecast composite in September, before he even released his outlook. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/09/high-confidence-in-evolution-of-enso.html Anyone who reads my stuff knows I cite materials...I have used one of his graphics once or twice and if you go through, they are cited with his Twitter handle recommended as a follow.