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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Before he plays the victim, I said "idiotic" in that it characterizes the behavior, not the person.
  2. Its like me taking the one day that there was a flurry in December and posting "some torch"...its absolutely idiotic. No one expects anything before mid month....its either one of two things: 1) He is an idiot 2) Just trying to be an ass Strongly believe its 2.
  3. My second big dog winow from the Outlook in early November was 2/11 to 3/3. I still feel good about that, though it could be argured its a hair early, I guess.
  4. That is the best look we have had since probably March 2018.
  5. No argument from me on that.....Maybe it runs a few days into March, but I think that will be a relatively nice month in terms of sensible weather. Maybe Raindance is right and there is a cold snap or two, but I am talking in the mean. I don't see a very wintry month.
  6. What is the best site to use for the up to date numerical departures? I never even look at those...I just go by the maps, so if I am off on that, it was not intentional....again, it's all checked in the spring.
  7. But back to the original point, I don't consider +3 top +4 an "exotic" positive departure. Maybe others disagree.
  8. So, maybe it's more like +2 to +4 instead of +1 to +3? I use the maps on this site and the complete monthly in degrees F will be out in about a week...but I check it all in May. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/getpage/
  9. I just approximate based on that map I posted, which isn't the complete month, anyway....but like I said, the final assessment is done in May, when the dust is settled and I have access to all of the maps, etc.
  10. Worcester always runs warm...it's been a long standing issue. That said, did I say here were cool spots?
  11. I went a little warmer than this composite implies...I have been trying to do that more because the composite maps of old analogs just aren't representative anymore.
  12. I'll get the actual final F departures when those maps are ready...the seasonal forecast isn't graded until May.
  13. It still definitely matters with oceans warming and all, but not as much as one may think.
  14. Yes, by far the largest impact of GW is the ability radiate during winter nights.
  15. It was definitely a little warmer than I expected, but not like December...and otherwise the month largely evolved as anticipated.
  16. GW is definitely real and anthropogenic to some degree, but the thing is the majority of it manifests nocturnaly during the cold season. Yes, it is absolutely causing more frequent positive departures during the day, but it's often resulting in situations in which we register large mean monthly anomalies despite a relative to dearth of really warm daytime hours. January 2021 was another great example.
  17. I said that there wasn't "exotic" warmth near the coast of SNE. Enough with the spinning BS. Tough to justify getting more then 5PPD when you waste them on this sophomoric shit....yea, please, pretty please give us more of this.
  18. I read your outlook, which is why I gave you credit for it...I said "NE"...not mid Atlantic.
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