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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Shame.......it used to be the correct forecast that paid the bills.
  2. That "DirectWeather" on youtube or facebook is another weenie site....guys hypes everything and is usually wrong. Every winter looks severe over the NE.
  3. Is he really? Jesus....opposite ENSO signal and complete opposite extra tropical Pacific regime....I would have that season as one of @raindancewx's "antilogs" TBH. I still say he knows better than this and is clearly selling out for clicks....either that, or JB stands for Joe Biden.
  4. 1959 and 1975 both featured near normal snowfall for this area the ensuing winter. Sign me up if I could lock that in.
  5. I don't think I have seen any opposition anywhere to another strong -PDO this winter.
  6. I have five consecutive days above 90...last Friday and Saturday were 89....so very close to seven. Tomorrow probably makes it, but the streak probably ends Saturday. Then I get another four in a row.
  7. It's been a very hot summer and is far from over...but peak climo is what it is, regardless of how the summer has been.
  8. This is pretty much peak climo for the heat....now through like the 23rd.
  9. This is what I said in the main ENSO thread....even independent of CC, one had to expect this decade to take a hit after the run we just went on.
  10. I would argue that slowing development right off of the CV islands/African coast would increase the risk to the US.
  11. I don't really care to argue the semantics of it, as long as you know what I was implying.
  12. No doubt. I wasn't implying summer was over, of course.
  13. I don't care what the calendar says, common sense dictates that we have likely seen the hottest stretch. Doesn't mean won't see several more days above 90.
  14. Man, we need something to shake the globe up...I get the globe is warming, but even independent of that its been brutal.
  15. Yea, I think we have peaked in heat, but plenty more obnoxious dews to come.
  16. I am certainly in a heatwave...4 consecutive days above 90*.
  17. I think this year will be better than the last two just based on shear probability, regardless of how bad things look in the grander scheme.
  18. I would be interested in seeing data concerning how rapidly winter time temp maxes are rising. I am sure that they are, believe me....but I do know that the rate of GW is being driven more so by higher mins. Again, I am SURE that maxes are also rising...believe me, but I am just interested in knowing just how fast because I know that its not as fast as daytime mins.
  19. I just think we need to be careful about developing a recent confirmation bias....its in vouge right now to offer up a few peer reviewed arcticles on warm pools and automoatically dismiss any wintery prospect and I understand why, but we saw the same thing happen in the other direction when things were going well. its important to try to maintain an objective view.
  20. Looks like some relief in about a week, confused emojis be damned.
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