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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean this to be an ass, either...I would get it if there were resistance, but there really isn't. Like last year, I totally got it....but we are all generally on the same page here, so I think honing in on the magnitude, characterization, timing and length of any potential deviations would have more value at this stage.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right on par with 2021.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't see the value in posting volumes of support for a warm winter at this point....I mean, while you're at it, maybe dig up some tweets from scientists arguing that the world is round? I think at this point of the season, there is more value in thinking outside of the box and envisioning what, if anything could go "wrong" from a consensus perspective.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone know what the final SAI/SCE were?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    50mb, too....odd.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone know why this says eastern phase? Could have sworn QBO is west...
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I remember that heat...I was a junior in HS.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Relative index is still weak...like -.76.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    @bluewaveI have some interesting ideas about your deviation stuff that I am sharing in this year's work. Really facinating relationship to ponder....been wrestling with that today.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ah...can always count on snowman to give your grape the one last shove needed to consume that last morsel of dirt. I need your number in case I am ever struggling to overcome that last layer of ambivalence on a ledge.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    JB has alterior motives, though...at least at that stage of his career, which is part of the issue. Kind of akin to how young athletes trying to establish their value are most productive relative to after they hit payday.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    We all just need to be jerks sometimes....it goes both ways, too....the cold bias zealots like JB take plenty of shit, too.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Love this thread for the graphics...saves me sooo much time because I have to make enough as it is myself and they are very time consuming.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean that it can't be dry in general in the east...just saying that the N stream is more important in New England.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can live without coastal hugging, occluding Miller As....just let me know what the N stream does.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mind being corrected...its a catalyst for growth...which ironically enough is a beacon of true intelligence.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, it was a joke...I have never seen anyone so butt-hurt over CC. My god...how many times have I mused about how this is correct and I am including alot of it in my write up? Jesus...injecting dark humor is just my way of coping and reducing tension.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Generally speaking you are correct, but I prefer to speak in terms of probabilities because there are a multitude of factors at play.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    January 7th kept me from gouging my eyes out and quitting weather.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely. I think it will work the other way eventually, but this plays into the greater "feast or famine" aspect"...slowly but surely famine is gaining ground.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is like a nightmare form which I just can't awaken...its like the meteorology hobbyist version of the movie "Groundhog Day".....I'm Bill Murray.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely...this is why when we use the 1991-2020 climo period to measure older analogs, there is a sea of greater heights that washes everything out. This is why I use the 1951-2010 climo period quite often...but of course, it goes both ways. If you use a more recent analog for that period, then its a sea of blue. I try use that all encompasing 1951-2010 climo period when the composite is comprised of a wider range of years....like seasonal forecast composites, for instance.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see I missed another CC circle-jerk....Bluewave brings the toys, Tip the lotion and Chuck supplies the basket. Neat.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like 2022-2023 without the blocking.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Huge +WPO
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