40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Lets see how long it takes the models to realize it will be castrated on approach.
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Whatever it is that drops over a foot of snow here. I haven't looked at it.
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What is the over-under on when guidance starts to shear the shit out of that bomb next week?
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Good. I'm ready.
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I know....I just wanted a snap shot of that event.
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Euro looked great here for 2/26, but it was close.
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Bit late to the party south, but Final Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/protracted-light-to-moderate-snows.html
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I don't. Second round will try make it further north.... You can already see the RAD confirming this shunting east.
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No. System gets sheared at a certain latitude, regardless of the thermal profile...has nothing to do with temps. If that compressed flow was not there, then yes.
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Oh, you are referring to where you perceive to be the better spot in this event? I thought you were referencing where Luke lived.
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More like ASWCTATT
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Ensembles don't look that impressive to me.
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Maybe.
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Your posts are like nails on a chalk board. The warmer air making it further north does not matter, and these three posts illustrate why. This is in reference to next week, but the same logic applies here. Your thought process if far too linear.
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Yea, don't hold your breath.
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I think some of that is low level fronto from the CF, too.....up near this area.
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So now that we have gotten that out of the way....let me add some affirmation to your statement. Yes, it will deliver somewhere, it just won't be here-
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Why? What happened? Same thing that has all season......trough amplifying west with energy dump, then se ridge compresses against lower heights to the north to create that wonderful meat cleaver near New England....storm vaporizes on approach after LBSW.
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24 hours later:
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That system next week that folks are so hopeful over.......here is the long range EURO...yea, look at that lead time....OMG.....except its happen like this all year, so why would this one NOT get shredded? I buy it. This looks great, right? What could possibly go wrong?
