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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably, but we may also see a sharper veer to the east than forecast upon approach, which is often the case and could negate some of that.....unless it really gets captured.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Note how all of those have WNW movement immediately....
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not even doing First Call until tomorrow...venting online is one thing...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hearing Ukie sends near major into central LI
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd put more money on your fantasy team, than I would this system having a huge impact.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least it has the entire hurricane model suite to keep it company.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully that is far enough east to spare me several inches of rain.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    But the EURO initialized too weak yesterday...it has to hit.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any time you start watching for that, its over.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This page has it, but for some reason, the forecast maps are from February right now...I used it last season. https://www.trackthetropics.com/atlantic-wind-shear-maps/
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    It can act an an outflow channel...I think that is what scooter is alluding to.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think later tomorrow, then later tomorrow night and Saturday is favorable.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get why the EURO yesterday was giving people pause...it wasn't even showing a storm, or a very faint representation of one....but this "it initialized at 1001mb and its already 991mb" is asinine.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am...I don't want 12" of rain. Honest truth.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully I can continue last winter's karma and have the latitude "screw" me...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I hope it stalls down there....my basement has had enough issues this summer.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure you are being entirely honest with us....lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Leave it to Ant to run models on his old Atari to find a NYC track.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm starting to hedge towards a a more western track that bends towards the cape late in the game and decelerates before drifting away.....would devastate cape cpd.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Erosion would be the least of your concerns in some of these solutions.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    My gut is saying this is bad news for the cape, and a large nuisance, elsewhere.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    It seems to be losing a bit more latitude than forecast....
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its probably mainly a higher impact for the cape if anyone in the end, and super soaker period for us.
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