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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Best western look we have had in weeks, which is why I was originally hopeful for that one, but the busy N stream and the Pac kicker displacing the ridge east are killing us.
  2. This is one of the reasons mod la nina seasons do not produce many big events for us. I know you aren't a fan of generalizing seasons based off of ENSO, but when you have one big second half in nearly 100 years of data, there are probably reasons why.
  3. I use the word "hope" loosely, as I am about 80% confident of failure on that, too.
  4. My hopes, and probably even the pike region, ride on 1/29 to avoid one of the worst January months in history. I sit at 2" on the month....only worse years are 1962, 1969, 1980 (futility season), and 1992.
  5. I think you have a decent shot at that.
  6. Not feeling it, dude. We missed the boat IMO. Next week is our shot to hop aboard, but if next week goes awry, which is more likely than not, then I would hope to approach climo at best.
  7. I actually think spring may be decent this year bc we are getting the blocking during the winter for once (I know, big help). It should break up over the next month.
  8. Pretty futile back-to-back. 1/29 system does drop 14mb in 6 hours, though lol
  9. It doesn't matter how far north this comes for me, my ceiling is about 2". The farther north, the more shredded.
  10. Yea, that looks like my call...we'll see.
  11. No, I mean Feb probably won't be as warm as I thought...and blockier.
  12. My analog composite nailed that...it showed up clear as day. Probably gonna be too warm and not blocky enough w Feb, though.
  13. Today 12z was def. better than yesterday.
  14. Nah, just the usual bickering....the rev is good peeps. Passive aggressive jedi, but good peeps.
  15. I think the odds of 1/29 nailing us are really fading.
  16. I know....just a joke. I'm actually going to order a copy. You should be proud of seeing something like that through.
  17. Its bc of the meat grinder block.
  18. Surface Highs have about as much to do with the track of surface low pressure as Awakening Dawn does with the Pulitzer Prize.
  19. I know....gotta roll the dice bc the block isn't cutting it with this Pac.
  20. I see what this is about. I'm guessing some of your vapid troll posts got deleted, so calling me out is your passive aggressive hissy fit. Got it.
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