CAPE

Pretty decent start by Eflin in his return. Maybe the Os can get a little something good going for a change. They are due.

Higher terrain to the west, esp upslope areas. Probably not in the metros. 12z Euro probably has the right idea. LOL Gulf of America in a NWS AFD. Pathetic.

12z HRRR isn't bad and the globals depict areas to the east and NE getting some decent scraps beyond hour 60. All remains to be seen.

It is looking like the last event where interior areas do better than places further east. Hopefully I can get break a tenth of an inch this time.

Check out the 18z GFS.

The last "event" was one of the biggest short term busts in recent memory. Forecast rainfall totals here before last minute adjustments as the event was unfolding: 1-1.5" Total rainfall here: 0.05" Luckily prior events performed/overperformed and got my area out of the drought. Really need a solid inch of rain now though as it has gotten pretty dry again.

A couple days ago it looked like Tuesday would be a nice day, with showers coming in overnight. I planned to go hiking lol.

Yeah he is 35 but doesnt look it and seems durable. That's probably why they were able to sign him to a relatively modest deal. If the rest of the rotation was intact his addition would have been much more impactful. Eflin is back- looks like he will start Sunday- and then we wait and see on Grayson(doesnt look promising) and the potential returns of Bradish and Wells sometime after the all star break. The offense must become more consistent for the team to tread water until then. They are at a critical point right now-need to stay inside of 10 under and work towards 500. Continue on this trajectory and they will be 20 under before you know it. That would pretty much be the writing on the wall.

The one thing Elias got right in the offseason was signing Sugano. Dude throws 5 or 6 different pitches and has one of the filthiest splitters you will ever see.

They are on pace to lose 100+ games. Still no signs of life. Someone needs to take the fall.

It is past time for Hyde to go. Like seriously. Team needs a shake up and a new perspective. The pitching woes are problematic and wont be resolved unless they get some healthy arms back, but the offense is just pathetic, and it shouldn't be.

My area did pretty well for a while there. Last event underperformed, but still managed 0.6" or so. Starting to get dry again, so really could have used a half inch+ from this. NW areas getting more rain now, which is needed for that area. The worm has turned lol.

Bust. 1/2-3/4" forecast overnight. Reality .02" Doesnt look like much of anything for today either.

Just a beautiful day here. Give me this on repeat 8 out of 10 days with some rain the other 2, for the entire summer.