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  2. I wasn't alive in the 50s when those historic heatwaves occurred in 1953 and 1955 that haven't been matched since, but I was alive in the 1990s especially years like 1991 and 1993 when it was hotter here with less rain and more sunshine. I feel like our springs have gotten cooler and wetter since then. Central NJ has always been a heat paradise lol.
  3. This is also a Sonoran heat release pattern fwiw
  4. I sincerely hope you’re right as I want a quiet season for a change. But “anyone that’s been paying attention knows we’re not coming anywhere these numbers”?? Named Storms: 15-19Total Hurricanes: 7-9Major Hurricanes: 2-3ACE Index: 120-150 Based on what are you saying you know we’ll be nowhere close to these mainly slightly above avg #s?
  5. Yes I would like to see a traditional 40s and 50s style heat ridge. I think climate change is messing with our ridges and making it more wet and less hot here in the summer so maybe we can reverse that now.
  6. it's different dry vs wet. I have a really bad mold allergy problem and I sneeze too much to be able to sleep if the air is really moist.
  7. Interesting in 2024 and 21 the ridge position switched and trended north over time witihin this timeframe, while this time appears to be stable. We shall see. That strong storm over the plains ND is pumping the flow SW and building the ridge.
  8. we really need to build houses like they do in the southwest, instead of these brick ovens people live in.
  9. it happens even in some of our hottest summers like July 1993, right before the historic heat came in.
  10. I hope it overpowers the ocean and we hit 100+ down here too. the sea breeze needs to be deported....
  11. This is absolutely amazing, I wonder if I can match or exceed my 105.6 reading down here from July 2011. I'll take a picture of my digital thermometer if it happens, just like I did back then.
  12. It need to be below 72 for me to sleep comfortably. Anything above that and I need a fan blowing in my direction. I can sleep just fine with temps as low as 60 indoors, I just use a comforter. Sleeping in the 80s would be impossible.
  13. Yay I want to see 40c on Long Island! I hit 105.6 on July 22, 2011.
  14. Question from a Marylander. End of July we will be in the Eastman / Dartmouth area for a few days. Wondering if any of you can recommend a decent golf course or two in that area? I may be able to get a tee time, via my club, at Manchester CC but that seems to be a good hour drive. Thanks
  15. Good luck with that. Anyone that's been paying attention knows we're not coming anywhere near these numbers.
  16. Most recent Jul 3, 2021 it was in the 60s to at 70 after some record heat and sandwiched between the next heat around Jul 7/8 of upper 90s.
  17. why, this weather really sucks. fortunately humans can modify their own climate and I have my space heater running at 83 degrees since last night (yes I boosted it a degree because 82 made me feel cold last night.) The 83 degree setting on my space heater compensates for the lack of sun and also eradicates this excessive moisture at the same time, killing mold. It feels really nice here with a nice dry 83 degree heat (actually it's 85 since the heater only stops when my room temperature hits 85). My rule of thumb is I can tolerate temperatures in the 60s when there is no wind and the sun is out. But if there is no sun and it's windy my heat needs to stay on. The space heater nicely compensates for the lack of sun and nukes the moisture in the air too. My indoor humidity is only 44% right now.
  18. That’s only for places near the immediate South Shore and Eastern Long Island. Most of the area away from the beaches and sea breeze influence have experienced all-time numbers of 90° days this decade especially closer to Central NJ. So the heat is much more widespread than it was back in the 1950s. Nearly every year this decade someone in NJ is getting to 40 days reaching 90°. Those instances were few and far between in the older era.
  19. Yeah west is best. Not expecting anything here
  20. Yes, and 106 readings I got in my car driving through Queens in 1993, 2010 and 2011. I agree that there are some parts of the city that are hotter than others, so if we can use some thermometers, we should be able to use them all.
  21. Once the ridge relaxes around 6/27-28, heights remain elevated but it would turn/hot humid with chances for storms keeping rainfall normal - above.
  22. There were 100 degree readings in NYC 2021
  23. 1806 - A total eclipse of the sun was viewed from southern California to Massachusetts. (David Ludlum) 1972: Agnes was first named by the National Hurricane Center on June 16, 1972: It would go on to make landfall between Panama City and Apalachicola, Florida, on the afternoon of June 19. Hurricane Agnes would later cause catastrophic flooding in the mid-Atlantic states, especially Pennsylvania. Agnes caused over 100 fatalities. Did Agnes make landfall near JFK too? wow this must have been absolutely amazing, was totality reached in NYC?
  24. That 1.71 at Damascus is only about 6 miles north of me (I'm close to that 0.24)
  25. It’s been a very rough stretch for the areas around the Gulf extending up into places like Asheville last year.
  26. People engaged in this soc med pastime seem to impulse-down-play when they sense someone's exuberance ... LOL. Probably? this is a good thing. Maybe even instinct as a crowd physical means to normalize the group think toward sensibility. You know, stop a rash decision/recourse that takes out the whole tribe.. heh - then again, we have amongst us some sources that really need that because they are known violators of common verbal decency when it comes to porno interpretation of the modeling cinema - Be that as it may, I would be a little concerned in this case that something extraordinary may be be "cooking." Just keep that on the back "burner" as a non-zero possibility. We have in fact gained on this signal's prominence among the multi-method technique, ranging from ens/mass fields, telecons that represent those (numerically), ...operational version both subtle and gross comparisons... etc. All of them, spanning now 4 consecutive day's worth of runs. The confidence is about as maxed out on what it can be against "model climate error" for a D6-10 range. I mentioned this yesterday and it is still the case... this is a candidate for a synergistic heat bomb. One that that by nature of their emergent properties, would be difficult to see coming. Think 'rogue wave' phenomenon in a stormy sea. The wave at least needs the stormy sea within which to occur. There is some basic identifiable framework required. Perhaps this not unlike the quantum Non-Markovian effect. It's a theoretic that the future state of a system is based not just on the quantum presentation, but also the quantum memory of the system. Having nodal hot dome that's being left to fester, fed by intense insolation over multiple diurnal cycles ... When we say "high launch pad" that isn't merely figurative, that is suspiciously very alike a system's quantum memory "setting the state", and then the non-linear observation takes place. interesting Sooo... for now, what I suggested yesterday imho is still in place. One, we rely mainly on ensemble means. Part of that ... big signals sometimes deamply as they near - I call this the moon on the horizon effect. When the signal first detects out at the temporal horizon, looms catastrophically large, but then as it rises into clarity...it becomes just an ordinary expectation. This is also somewhat analogous to 'boy cry wolf' modeling... because synergistic events take place in the atmosphere, ...we can't expect to catch them predictively just by making sure that every early modeled detection is looks like one. Two, synergistics really can't be assessed with any "degree" of certitude ( haha), but in recognizing the basic framework.. yeah. The other thing to consider is that it won't be 120 here like the Pacific Northwest. We're still going to be loaded with more atmospheric impurities and other offsets that are normal. But, setting records across back to back diurnal days or something ... We'll know if we dealing with a special case if/when
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