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I moved my Tempest once again to a much more stable location. The neighbors removed a big pine tree opening the spot up for me. It's solid now. The "jury rigged" clothesline props was a bit shaky, and I thought if we got a good enough windy thunderstorm that it might come down. It's not going anywhere here, but is still above the fence, and a bit farther away from the house.

what's happening specifically?

hopefully 90's wellllllllll into Septorcher

2011 had it largest impacts on the August and September trends (1970-2024).

I got a new phone and for some reason I can't post on this site, all the other sites I visit I'm able to. Is there a setting on this site I need to play with?

The warm spots in NJ had 2 separate 10 day heatwaves back in July and August of 2022. But you need to be west of the sea breeze front in NJ to open up multiple 10 day runs in the same season. The last 20 day heatwave in NJ was back in 1988. So 10 day heatwaves aren’t that big of a deal for the warm areas. But it’s very difficult east of the Hudson due to the enhanced sea breeze circulations in recent years. Plus the tree growth shading the NYC ASOS prevents 10 day heatwaves there. Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature >= 90 for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 14 1995-07-24 through 1995-08-06 2 12 1953-08-25 through 1953-09-05 3 11 1999-07-24 through 1999-08-03 4 10 2022-08-03 through 2022-08-12 - 10 2022-07-17 through 2022-07-26

the only option on the table is what actually happens

I agree. 10 drops fell

So ridiculous to be riding op runs for east coast landfalls on a wave that emerged off coast of Africa yesterday morning… Everything from a recurve east of NS to a track into the keys is on the table… Model junkies…

Pretty sure you’d be washed into the GOM on this one.

RIP

Yes, Antarctic ice cores show that the temperature rose shortly before CO2 started rising by centuries to 1,000 years. The initial warming was triggered by changes in the Earth's orbit, which allowed for an increase in solar insolation. As oceans warmed, CO2 was released (the outgassing you mentioned). The released CO2 then drove a continuation of the warming. Today, humanity has bypassed Milankovitch Cycles, which once served as the trigger for the initial warming. Humanity began reintroducing CO2 to the atmosphere via the burning of fossil fuels. As atmospheric CO2 has increased, that has driven temperatures higher. In terms of incoming solar radiation, a 3.7 W/m² increase in forcing (just over 1%) may seem small. But it's the imbalance that matters. For example, during the last ice age, there was a -3.9 W/m² imbalance (1.1%). Nevertheless, the latest research now suggests that the Last Glacial Maximum was about -6.1°C cooler than current temperatures. Regarding the recent 4.8°C estimate, I need to see more. I am open to it, because highly respected scientists in the field are now suggesting that climate sensitivity could be higher than consensus estimates when a better understanding of feedbacks is considered. I will watch the evolution of the debate and incoming data on this matter. Finally, I think there's a world of difference between one's having honest questions (your case) and those pontificating on the matter when they provide no credible alternative explanations and/or have done no research whatsoever on climate/climate change.

that 0.01 last October is so fake, we had 0 rainfall that entire month and for the first half of November lol

Very similar to our snowfall pattern now Maybe our climate is headed in this direction. I like this, it means more of a chance of triple digit heat.

How close is this to the blockbuster summer pattern we had in 1944 when we had 3 100+ days early in August and then a hurricane later in the month, Chris??

Really erratic rainfall pattern during the 2020s so far. Most of the months are either well above or well below on the rainfall. Not much balance. Monthly Total Precipitation for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 0.61 2.60 5.52 3.25 6.58 2.46 4.03 0.06 M M M M 25.11 2024 5.28 2.05 9.06 3.47 4.11 1.71 4.20 7.02 1.58 0.01 3.35 4.53 46.37 2023 4.38 1.28 3.32 7.70 1.28 1.62 5.34 6.56 14.25 3.90 2.95 6.71 59.29 2022 4.29 3.23 2.39 4.53 4.52 2.92 4.55 1.71 4.10 5.08 3.15 5.83 46.30 2021 2.31 5.13 3.41 2.69 4.36 2.62 11.09 10.32 10.03 5.26 1.12 1.39 59.73 2020 1.93 2.54 3.78 4.49 1.65 1.76 6.58 5.03 3.94 5.05 3.99 4.61 45.35

deep blue skies are quite stunning and we also have the Perseid meteor shower coming up

all these rainy Julys and Augusts are why we haven't seen a 10 day heatwave in over 20 years

55 in Marysville this morning.

1936 - The temperature soared to 114 degrees at Plain Dealing, LA, and reached 120 degrees at Ozark AR, to establish record highs for those two states. (The Weather Channel) 1936 endless extreme heat never quit lol 1884 - An earthquake, centered near New York City and registering a magnitude 5.5, hit the region a little after 2 PM. The tremor made houses shake, chimneys fall, and residents wonder what the heck was going on, according to a New York Times article two days later. 1884: An earthquake, centered near New York City and registering 5.2 on the Richter scale, hit the region a little after 2 PM. The quake produced a small tsunami from the Hudson River to the Delaware River. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) did this cause a tsunami?? 1778: A major hurricane struck along the east coast. The storm could have played a decisive role in a major naval battle between the French and British fleets, but British naval commanders failed to capitalize on their advantage after the larger French ships were damaged more heavily by the storm. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) did this make landfall up here and what was the category? Highs: EWR: 102 (1949) NYC: 98 (1949) LGA: 99 (1949) JFK: 94 (1949) A clean sweep for 1949-- looks like LGA was hotter than Central Park back then too haha

it happened more often further back in time, long heatwaves happen much less often now

1953 12 days 1999 11 days 1993 10 days

10/10

Left in the 5th last night. The look does matter. They need pitching and no free agents will want to come to Baltimore if management looks this incoherent. Who the heck is Greg Allen, and why is he now starting in CF?

Fucking Bustardi had to do it