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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Awareness is a two way street. You don't need to be relentlessly reminded on how "dangerous" it out out there, esp. when it is not that "dangerous" overall. Constant negative like that wears on society, promotes anxiety, and impacts zeitgeist, among other things. You start viewing the world as worse that is actually is, and many ppl think the wx is worse and unlike anything society has ever experienced before b/c of wx hype and the ordinary is constantly turned into the extraordinary That is not good. Decisions and policy are made from such false perceptions, never mind needless cancellations, as a couple of examples. -
Monster N. Pacific low finally.. -250dm. You never get -250dm on the D10 ensemble mean unless it's a special circumstance. https://ibb.co/6RK3BJMZ
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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
psv88 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Yawn. 1.70” of rain and 45 mph winds. -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I have noticed more hype wording over times. You will see "powerful" and "dangerous" used a lot. This kind of wording was used much more sparingly through the 90s, and was reserved for the truly high-end events. I got news you, all Nor'easters (and hurricanes for that matter) are powerful and dangerous. Redundant wording. This hurts business and commerce overall to the point we are being held hostage by the wx. That is not good. More is not always better. Using "better safe than sorry" is a cop out, get-out-of-jail-free, weasel excuse. But you have pander to the lowest common denominator these days. But at the same it insults those would know the deal and are responsible when it comes to wx and promotes distrust in authority b/c they clang the alarm bell relentlessly. And now supermarkets are crowded for a Nor'easter that has zero snow? WTF? You see the problem here. Unnecessary panic and fear is instilled every time of inclement wx now. And don't get me started on the use of "catastrophic" That is abused big time. The problem is that it is used by default. Impact/damage is never severe, disastrous, moderate, minor, or anything else other than "catastrophic" these days. Ever notice that? There is no scaling or quantification of it all anymore. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
TriPol replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
I'm really concerned about Central NJ. The wind, the rain... the flooding. It's going to be really bad for them. -
Hopefully this can make it to the threads most liked post, instead of all that drama stuff
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good use of AI
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
What about the swath of tree damage in GHG from the Bliz of 13? Legendary you talk about that! -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
T-bone frontal fracture. That's a Sharpio-Keyser cyclone, the ones that have the crazy winds on the backside. Dec 9, 2005 is perhaps the best one in SNE. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
MJO812 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Heavy rain and wind here -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
When you say the weenie in Welfleet is 100 ft. Is that is ground elevation or the anemometer height? I say this b/c as long as the anemometer height is 10 m, it doesn't matter what the ground elevation is. Yes, of course ground elevation relative to surrounding elevation needs to be considered, but ppl and infrastructure are still there! If one happens to live on a ridge/bluff, that doesn't discount it. The former CHH radar/RAOB site sits on a bluff, and I recall comparing obs here to the CQX airport, Night and day! CQX is not that windy of location. HYA/FMH/PVC do much better. Here is the BID airport. Despite it's elevation, it is far enough inland and surrounding by trees that you are going to have sig differences to the shoreline. I've seen this numerous times going E on 286 to Seabrook MA. Once you get out of the trees and into the salt marshes, holy cow! -
Don't look now, DMV but here comes yet another big rain blob from the Northeast! You guys are gonnabe piling up some fresh rain tallies!
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
WxWatcher007 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I posted an ob of 50kt there a page or two ago -
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I was just thinking of Dec 11-12, 1992...the one @CoastalWx likes to forget b/c he got royally screwed in Brockton when so many others basked in white glory, getting their biggest snowfall in nearly 10 years! That even started w/ sig wind well before the pcpn started (reminded me of he Bliz of 78). You know you are in for it when that happens! Then a full day of R+ in ern MA, that turned to S+ predawn the next day and I got 18" in Woburn. To get that much rain first and that much snow in a single event is practically unheard of. Woonsocket RI had 7" total pcpn (20" of that snow). That is huge amount of pcpn in the NEUS for a nor'easter in a winter month. And it was not that extreme as far as low/high combo. 985 low stalled E of the Delmarva and a 1035 high in Quebec. Yet coastal flooding was epic. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
nycsnow replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Insane out right now like a legit tropical storm, 2k more outages last 15 minutes on Long Island -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Breene replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
your posts read like click bait. 'your road is almost gone. fire island lost all power. scanner report from the bronx. etc.' before that you were complaining you 'hadn't even reached 40 yet' you're rooting for this, not analyzing anything - Today
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
H2Otown_WX replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
About to dryslot at BDL, thought I was going to having an exciting shift. Only gusting to 23 kts attm. -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
This was always going to be "takes its time" type storm, but in the end everything will verify. Not every storm comes in hot and heavy like the Bliz of 93. @CoastalWx take note... -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
CCHurricane replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I’m seeing BOS gusting to 51mph. Don’t doubt your comment, can you share where you pulled that from? -
the one thing that seperates those two composites is weather or not a +iod forced upper divergence patterrn occurs into midwinter the sst signal pretty much always goes away but if the event was strong enough the upper divergent signal over the western io can stay and all years with no snow had it and all years with lots snow did not My grand theroy is that when its just the nino like pacfic forcing the n america wavetrain the cooler anamolies are centered over the se conus and a -nao tends to appear ( or more negative compared to the other compostie) and mid atl can get a good snow or two while when the western io is also forcing the wavetrain it interfers with the el nino centering the cold over the sw conus which torches the east and leaves it without snow i should note cs3 has the divergent signal emerging in nov but collapses it by jan
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
vortex95 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
BOS G50KT. How is that cancel? BED G40KT, G61 KT Welfleet and on Block Island. Exactly as fcst and what the HRRR showed. Next thing you'll do is "we cancel the rain" Pfft! You do realize this is duration event and the rain does not end in ern sections until close to sunrise Tue. -
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I dont wanna sound to weenie but i dont think people realize how good of a look the nmme is for mid atlantic snowfall its jan feb maps look like carbon copys of the avg of the 5 strong/super nino events that produced good snow here you have the same key 3 features 1 big goa/pac low 2 hudson bay ridge 3 trough centered over the gulf coast of course details are not exactly the same but big pic it basiaclly is and its certiannly not the same as the one with no big snows in dc
