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ensonerd1233e343

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  1. ensonerd1233e343
    also 1973 47 ace
  2. ensonerd1233e343
    more accurate because its an el nino so if its showing green in the east central pac and brown in the io you can make a good bet that will happen
  3. ensonerd1233e343
    mjo driven
  4. ensonerd1233e343
    2023 was weird bc of weaker nino forcing due to warm global tropics
  5. ensonerd1233e343
    yea but it will once the aluteian low gets going in mid to late northen fall also even if it didnt that wouldnt meaningfully affect the winter fcst
  6. ensonerd1233e343
    Thank you People are overthinking the winter
  7. ensonerd1233e343
    https://cyclonicwx.com/
  8. ensonerd1233e343
    We are
  9. ensonerd1233e343
    Yea look at a climo map the drop in northen summer is really stark largely due to increased fetch of se trades as itcz moves n althouh there is some other thing going on here some clouds that form im not sure
  10. ensonerd1233e343
    What? No Roni def is a realstic gague thats the reason noaa uses it lol
  11. ensonerd1233e343
    thanks
  12. ensonerd1233e343
    still record breaking
  13. ensonerd1233e343
    Mine are 3.3-3.5 oni 2.4-2.6 roni so we agree for roni i just think the tropics will be warmer so the gap between roni and oni will be bigger
  14. ensonerd1233e343
    I would say three years of la nina are likely
  15. ensonerd1233e343
    I dont think it really is and either way the odds of el nino not coupling to the n pac during northen winter are near zero so imo the point is moot
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