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Absolutely.

Everyone knows that if you want to find reprieve from the heat you head to Manhattan

Bro the location and foliage is not the same as it was in 1966 in Central Park. I

wild, I didn't know about that one Don and that was before the overfoliage era at Central Park. It's even more than the 5 degree difference on July 4, 2010 (101 at JFK, 96 at NYC). Do you know offhand what the high at Central Park was on May 29, 1969 when JFK had their one and only 99 in May, Don?

more impressive that we're still 2-3 weeks? from peak temps

No. I’m nearly 60 and can’t recall a forecast with 3 consecutive days of triple digits. Fortunately out this way, my highest temp forecast is 98F…so I got that going for me. Hoping all those without power have it restored today! 76F/DP 64F

In manhattan?

omg JFK already had 8 90 degree days at this point in 2010 and NYC only had 4? LOL

June 27, 1966, is that the earliest 100 degree temperature recorded at NYC? So next week we have the potential to have our earliest 100 degree temperature at both NYC and JFK?

incidentally that 1 99 degree day in 1969 is the earliest on record, with a high of 99 on May 29, 1969, I think it's pretty crazy that the record high for both May and June is 99, it shows that June has the potential to be hotter than 99 and we're overdue to break that June monthly record at JFK (which was tied 4 times).

Yes, JFK exceeded NYC by 5 degrees on that day and yet no one seems to remember it (except me)-- that day really stood out to me.

It's a few days and if you can read I said we would still get some hot days.. that 82 was a joke if you can understand that.. but yes I still think it's Midwest and west after this

The hilarious thing about JFK is they hit 99 4 times in June but not 100 (not yet)..... the other hilarious thing is they also hit 99 once in May, on May 29, 1969.... which shows that not only is 100 possible in June at JFK, it's also inevitable. Let's see if this is the June that will do it. Having the same record high for May AND June is not something I would expect to last..... Regarding NYC, what I find so ironic is that the record highs for next Monday and Tuesday (both 96) are from 1888....... This is the earliest extreme heat we have seen since 2012 when we were in the upper 90s around this time around the entire area (including JFK).

Yes. I fixed my post as I accidentally omitted 1983 and 2010.

Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. We better not fumble at the 1yd line

we have the opportunity to have the earliest 100 degree temperature at both NYC and JFK next week.... not sure what NYC's record is but I think it's from 1966 Tony? Was it earlier than the extreme heat we will have next week?

Perhaps. Let's say the temperature rises 1.5C to 2.0C from the 1991-2020 average. That would mean, 87°-89° days during 1991-2020 would then be 90° days, on average. That would increase the average annual number of 90° days as follows: JFK: From 10.8 to 22.8; LGA: From 21.8 to 37.9; NYC: From 17.4 to 32.9; Newark: From 28.3 to 46.8. Extremes increase in non-linear fashion, so that actual incidence would probably increase somewhat faster than overall temperatures. So, it seems plausible, but that's far out.

2010: Jul 4 High temperature JFK: 101 EWR: 101 LGA: 98 ISP: 97 NYC: 96

Be safe everyone. Heat stroke comes on quick.

75 already here, off a low of 56

Thanks Tony, that's exactly how I remember it too.

The high of 101 on July 4th at JFK, was 4 degrees higher than Central Park if I remember correctly and also higher than LGA. I think EWR was the only other official ASOS in the area to reach 100 on that day.

JFK Year Rank Days >= 100 °F 2010 1 3 1966 1 3 2011 3 2 1993 3 2 1983 3 2 1948 3 2 2013 7 1 1999 7 1 1972 7 1 1963 7 1 1957 7 1 NYC Year Rank Days >= 100 °F 1966 1 4 1953 1 4 1993 3 3 1977 3 3 1955 3 3 1948 3 3 1944 3 3 2011 8 2 2010 8 2 1999 8 2 1991 8 2 1980 8 2 1957 8 2 1954 8 2 1949 8 2 1937 8 2 1936 8 2 1933 8 2 1926 8 2 1901 8 2 2012 21 1 2001 21 1 1995 21 1 1952 21 1 1934 21 1 1930 21 1 1918 21 1 1917 21 1 1911 21 1 1898 21 1 1881 21 1

2010 has the station record for all these locations, Tony?

will be a nowcast, I wouldn't rule out something. A few mesos kinda hit on EMA from here down to your hood, to the Cape. (as you probably saw)