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The cmc is basically just a rainstorm for SNE, briefly starts as snow, but the actual accumulating snow is confined to central and NNE

Time for the Euro to switch places and reel us back in! LOL!

Run out of my basement. Damn near 2" QPF on that run verbatim, just for 12/2.

Happy Thanksgiving all

Hoping it trends back up

Still a few days out on the Op models but ensembles should start to show members leaning with more of a west track.

Oh well. Bedtime for me while I try to sleep with an arm covered in hives. Found out I can't take omoxicillan the hard way. Good luck with the Euro.

It's ugly

Your 12/4-5 that I believe in is still on Models will cycle and show it some snd then not . Busy time and then analogs say 12/20-21

Gotta pick up a win here

Yes, Early on climo will rule.

Add the ukie to that also

Nah, Ukie same problem. No High up north and cold surrenders.

yeah it looks like exactly what you'd expect for 12/2.

Ukie vort further south. Has a better chance. We'll see soon.

Last frames of cmc

Interior would get pounded on these runs verbatim.

yeah ggem and gfs op really amped up. snow/mix/rain

If we can just get GFS and cmc to shift about 50 to 100 miles east a lot of us would be in business.... Still 130+ hours out.

Cmc

Agreed!!

Colder at surface but primary rides into wv. Sleet

Gem better than Gfs but same problem with no confluence to the north. High in the NE just moves out too fast.

Cmc also

When I Debbie downed about being in the southern end of the snow.. And I know it was not the edge, what we see on the Gfs is what I expected to see.. And I am not saying it won't shift around and I think the GFS is way too excited about precip and strength which are working against us.. But it was a logical shift. Could reverse in the morning.. I dunno.. Just seemed like the natural progression that the cold would move out. Timing, location, luck. Always needed. Will see what twh GEFS say.