Typhoon Tip

Which is precisely what took place prior to the previous El Nino ... a global warm burst led Which is precisely why I suspect we are seeing a similar burst taking place now Which is precisely what aggravates me - this is not garnering more attention. ...anyway... there seems to be something similar to a "non-Markovian" response in the global system. The analogy to help describe the effect of that, during a heat wave the day's rise in temperature often begins prior to the dawn - the mere approach of energy added to the system begins a measurable response. The system - in this case ... the air temperatures - begin to rise prior. Non-Markovian systemic response is a Quantum Mechanics concept where there appears to be a memory in the system based on a prior state. Such that stimulation doesn't have to work as hard to bring the state of the system back, as though it were first exposed. Something like this may be afoot. The end of the last NINA and entry into the +ENSO state in 2023 was alike the light prior to the dawn initiating the system to respond. Something similar may be taking place again, now. I remember hammering the significance ... that the ambit of science et al was not focused enough on the specific fact that such behavior was (apparently) unknowable and therefore, unanticipated. It is also not focused enough that the temperatures really did not settle back off that .3 to .4C burst.... ( this WAS anticipated to be the case and that did not happen). This GW/CC slow moving apocalypse could certainly happen in a series whip resets. We'll see where we are in 3 months...

Looks like a dry fropa Pike N, huh

blah blah blah.. !

Haha. Yeah, it’s pretty nondescript, huh? It’s actually in reference to the fully annotated and accredited post that I made yesterday I don’t know how many pages ago it is not more than a couple the depiction shows that the current exceedances into historic territory is even more so Source is from climate analyzer and those are the total global temperature means different years presented. The dark brown is 2026 and we are currently in the month of May in that graphical presentation

I think they’re missing a rather ominous thing there and that the replacement water in the western Pacific is a higher launching pad That’s causing … or could effect rather synergistically warmer scenario overall

Yeah..I'm starting to agree actually. The thing is, the same n-stream domination of the spring sort of helps because it intensifies the confluence - an aspect that the GFS "might" be handling better... Bit of speculation but if anyone has a better plausible explanation - The GFS doesn't seem to want to budge with a solution that fits that tho. we'll see. It's the difference between salvaging ... let's not get carried away.

The Euro's likely to correct... There's another heat signal suggested in the 27-30th period.

yeah, the convection pretty much flags today as a hot bust. I gotta visible hail shaft passing 4 mile S of me right now, back lit...with strobe CG to the left blinking in the chalk board. Amazing back folded anvil structures as the sun's coming out. 97 high temperature followed by hailers. Far cry from where we were in the cool boredom last week

May's kickin global record temperature ass!

Breakin' records and taken numbers

Logan bouncing between 95 and 97 is impressive on a 190 wind

jokes aside, the DP's likely to rise in the ambience over night. Heat of the day and mixing/turning over the BL ..etc, cuts off and then theta-e from evaportranporation and top soil evap pools while absorbing a lot of the outgoing LR should be warmer. Urban areas will be warmest

Know what might happen ... the urban centers go nuclear unbearable dunnite. Dps are 59 to 66 depending on site and probable instrumentation nuances...so call it 63. But as the evening presses on, the thermal battery of the brick and crete and street's gonna be more than willing to dump its load back out - pure infrared re-bathing. And as the DP creeps up to sponge it in lock step? Ooh. I could isee it being pretty ridic in some of the downtowns, or like those 3 floor town house multi dwellers ... swimmin in sweat with gun pops echoing from distant neighborhoods. 2nd shift cops are on alert already heh

Looks like we're at the bounce temp.

"highs" ? interesting... ORH on NWS' W&H interface product has 90 since 1:15 pm ... Not sure about rounding this or that...