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Typhoon Tip

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  1. depends ... the epo won't give up on the baseline in the GEFs ... it's not the same implication as January, no. but, we can still get these blocking nodes well into June some years... -epo can set that table. I'm a little leery of those ice cubes in the warm punch. but yeah, otherwise, both it and the EPS longer lead telecons are an endlessly negative PNA mode, and the AO's seasonally ko'd
  2. Probably not ... wall of impenetrable didn't get warm enough in time clearly stuffing CAPE ... Cu field's not advancing out of NY too well
  3. Well thankfully ...this is what I said: "We may actually scour out prior to the real warm front moving through over the course of the next several hours ... but, if that happens the high intense sun will then process the shit out of the prefrontal inversion and we may see a "frontal leap" up to a bicycle ride S of Brian where it stalls until next spring ..." Which is exactly what happened, bold. Brian might be hosed though hopefully The last hour we went from 62 to 74 here and probably we still have a shot at the upper 70s given to heating at this time of year lasting until 4 oclock,
  4. we'll be hosed here until the last physical second the cold is allowed to hold out. I've noticed that in these fudge-packed labored warm lube jobs that that N. Middlesex and western Essex counties up here will slab cold even when PSM in NH is S at 14 F temperature jumps.
  5. Temp ? I've been monitoring this site all morning ( provided by the Grand Rapids MI NWS ) and you can see/get a feel for where the warm frontal erosion axis is... Looks at glance like it's hung around NYC but judging by sat/vis loop ... you wonder if we'll get a processing leap when/if the skies improve.
  6. Your sky's gotta be glowing at least now looking at high res vis loop. We may actually scour out prior to the real warm front moving through over the course of the next several hours ... but, if that happens the high intense sun will then process the shit out of the prefrontal inversion and we may see a "frontal leap" up to a bicycle ride S of Brian where it stalls until next spring
  7. I suspect all weather dweebs had their chosen vantage points and would return to them, like a bear remembers a meal, when ever conditions qualified as an opportunity to eat in the specter of the clouds. Mine was the Coldwell Bankers/Insurance parking lot. It wasn't terribly huge, but Acton is one of those used to be forest townships typically found E of the Worcester Hills and west of I95; scoured out over 150 years of white man cometh farming and cow paths, turned eventually into single story shopping plazas separated by two-lane roads. There's still modestly wooded neighborhoods like all townships of this ilk, but that's not too ideal for dweebing. There were fields over by Acton/Boxborough Regional High School... Baseball and football complexes. Tennis courts etc. That town gentrified straight from 1960 provincial town Americana conservatism, right to self-righteous yuppification through the 1980s and '90s... replete with ultra competitive socially abusing rich shit assholes. Imagine a "Beverly's 90210" clone, only uncensored reality. The town actually built a parking lot for the high school students ( high school students!). On any given day ...one might see a BMW SUVs parked out among the other vehicles that no mere Junior in high school has any business sniffin' the interior of... Little oligarch larvae. I dunno. But it's a helluva lot different than when I was there hiding, lest risk ridicule for standing in fields watching TCU's poke up over the tree-lines ... waiting passionately to hear distant thunder murmurs. In other words ... kind of off-limits. I used stand there, arms crossed, in the old Coldwell parking lot, sometimes for up to an hour... I came to be known by the employees, too. Like, omg? What a dork... You ever think back to a time or place or event whence you were a part, and just seethe in private embarrassment? But one time someone emerged from the front of the building and as they passed by, she said, "We see you out here; what are looking for?" I had to laugh... I explained that I was a Meteorology major, the college I was attending ... prefacing the response regarding observing the thunder clouds. That actually made me feel a lot less self-conscious about being a creepy figure just loitering around outside their office windows... haha. She actually took interest and sidled up next to me and started looking at the features I was pointing out to her. Quite validating actually. I wasn't just a chapter out of a J.D. Salinger novel. I don't do that for every day crispy TCU's anymore. You get older and the art of it is reused. But, I do upon occasion stop and gawk if there's suspicion for rotation or just exceptional circumstances in general.
  8. you can't anyway. You're too obstructed from ground truth in every direction. If not an elevation blocking view it's forest or trees in general ...and if not trees, it's church steeples. Maybe you could photo a steeple, digitally turn it upside down, doctor it up a tad and call it a day - hahaha. hell, they call 'em the 'finger of god' anyway.
  9. these laboring warm frontal days are a paint drying slog. It's cutting across middle NJ but looking at hourly obs it appears to be moving north and will be up here mid afternoon, unless there's some sudden broader scaled mix out/leap in position which sometimes happens in these tuck regions E of the els.. I could see it being 62/57 murk at 2pm and agonizing ...then at 3:45 pm it's suddenly 77/65 as far N as ASH - Brian should be dammed and damned until tomorrow. If we can peel away more of the mid and high level gunk, then the sun may help to speed this up too. We're less than a week before the doorway into the solar max time of year. Long journey that seemed like a nightmare hallway stretching out of reach this time. I think I'm getting older.
  10. hoping for some good CB scapes but that looks like it may deteriorate into a grunge warm sector sky type... which is all distant rumbles. At least it's warm. Saturday's sort of transformed into a deep warm sector day as the week went on.
  11. chilly but no frost. 40 Massive solar loading yesterday so the battery was fully charged going into the night. Plus, with green up accelerating we're adding WV into the diurnal thermal state/cycle. These two factors probably helped the typical radiators from bottoming out lower.
  12. I'd be willing to sacrifice some days now, for the UKMET to verify ... so that the word stein is never again floated this summer and/or can be set to ignore
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