Typhoon Tip
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The overall mean thicknesses are not quite as cold, either. It's like what Jerry was suggesting, more like reality April. But D8/9 Euro is above normal on this run, too ... It's just more like convoluted spring typology. Bowling season
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hmm I really don't think the models know what to do later next week. It seems a cool down is inevitable but these 12z runs are all over the place with domain features compared to previous.
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ESE wind at 1K high ORH AP and it's about to tap 80 F .... In mid April
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Same. Strata lost the battle very fast about 1/2 hour ago. Now a naked BD air mass ... Pretty clear boundary still demarcates around Worcester ...but nearing 70 we're probably going to see the boundary bounce N some amount as it homogenizes on both sides. Still 3kts of E
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Exceptional temp gradient. 55 to 80 between Ayer and SW Worcester CO I'm thinking looking at satellite like the boundary is attempting to wash out so we'll see
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Suns out in downtown Boston before us. Rock on! The wind on 1K high Worcester air port needs to go SW ... that would tell us there's frontal retreat. Otherwise, even if the sun comes out we'll hang up at 62 bone-in-ass watching it be 80 up to Sturbridge.
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Clearing is actively working N-E ...question for me is whether there's a temp burst as that CT runs over as the sun is shining thru. interesting
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nice to see that...we'll see how it works out. There's quite a bit of clearing sweeping up across the area at mid and u/a levels according to high res vis loop this hour. As that expands over this sludge it will be interesting to see how the mid April sun goes to war over top. The day glow is also already elevating over the last 10 min here so my est for 11 am might not be so bad.
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Satellite isn't exactly arguing you're going to get a better day out of this shit roll
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That air mass arrived yesterday afternoon into E-NE zones, and it then got rained into overnight. That left a saturated cold slab that probably only 1000 ft elevation but is harder to mix out because it take more solar energy/thermal input to do it.
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Yeah ..I get it. Generally pissy mood this morning. The scrotum arc typical to morning satellite the morning after BDs is already starting to retreat from the W and S, shrinkage - haha. We'll probably bust out at 11 and see a temp jump with wind going SW.
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49/BR inside the rectum of a poorly analyzed BD. gorgeous ! Zero air movement tho, so the mechanics of this are weak. It could be overcome but the sun has to be strong
