Typhoon Tip

A "projector theory" of sorts is probably an easy back into when the "holographism" idea was put forth. Where is the image coming from then ..etc. Different processes in getting there, though. The ontological manifestation of reality in my Sci Fi idea is that every step after the Plank unit communication, creates a new layer of synergism ... with new synergistic foci. This is why birth happens at our level ... one among all actions traceable to the first primal creation. Those then interact, because their progenitor foci also interacted, and on and on... producing new layers with new foci interactions. Incomprehensibly large numbers of synergistic products later ... the naked tree against the gray winter sky looks identical to a higher resolution rendering of a river's complete water basin. And hence ... the "inheritance" I was describing in the earlier missive is exposed, as is reality. hint hint... nothing is truly unique or original. The primitive mind - perhaps - categorizes as a survival tactic, but then is imprisoned for eternity in a perception that the categorization describes reality. The mathematics is reused and repurposing, but it's just describing the relationships of the synergistic field - which means we're certainly species -capable of perceiving that something is going on that connects the stars. So..okay, my idea may bear some semblance to your Loop QT - and in fact, ...I think I saw a 5 minute conjecture on that either in a meme, or on the Science channel with a Sean Carol type - though not him... Can't specifically recall, but I can understand why you think it may be similar.

ah, gotcha Yeah, and I'm also waiting on the NAM's dependable NW bias to kick in, too. we'll see

Surf should be fun. Don't need those ( likely ) hyperbolic ideas of "90 mph" wind gust coming out of some the usual weather pundits to be a substantial ocean risk for the shores. This looks like a 48 hours of sustained 35 mph integrating energy into the tumult. What do the lunar guys say?

It's actually recovered pretty well here... 37 to now 65. We can still put ~ 1.5 hours of heating into this bad boy. Not sure we're going higher than 68 at this time of year and soundings but ... close to able to open the windows and let some of that 'warm' air in... I play this game every autumn ... how long I can wait until I kick on the heat. It used to matter for me as I was a base-board resister heated home up until last year. Resisters are money pits! I've since installed a compressor/Mini split sys and it's fractions of the cost and vastly more efficient. Also updated the windows and modernized some other stuff so... it's probably no big whoop just to flip it over to Heat from Cool but I still like the challenge haha this is year is ahead of schedule. The game usually doesn't commence until somewhere October 10ish... I've been actually trading punches with it for 4 days at this point. This morning I was about to flip but I got distracted by work calls... by the time I got off it's in the mid 60s and full sun and I'm like well...

I can already see the models festering in their schemes to create a snow chance in October ... Probably continues to deepen as these successive fast moving cold knife air mass inserts eventually mean bouts of early Lake Effect cold/LR convection grapple and cat paws. Post the 15th this all gestates into an actual snow chance perhaps. Or not, but the synoptically cryo supportive. **This isn't associated with ENSO I should also add ... warm ups after these successive cold shots may be equally handsome

Yeah ...last night with a nearly missed frost here. 37 ping temp but it appeared to really hover around 38 ...whoosk. Chilly. Pretty sure this is ahead of schedule against conventional climatology, ... definitely is so against relative climo associated with CC! 58 now so explosive recovery I can already see the models festering in their schemes to create a snow chance in October ... before the compression of winter allows NINO to take over for whatever that's gonna entail ... Fun year for weather incoming. Doesn't say jack about whether that's coming with winter d-dripper's withdraw symptoms in mind, however

Not meaning to digress the thread but all of humanity appears to be swooning over and guided by the 'grand presentation' these days. It's like we're all participating unwittingly in a dystopian cinema - if not delusion. It's a movie about the evolutionary scaled, socio-technological experiment we're sending our own species through.

Agree. And the Euro ... described below. As far as the GFS ...the difference seems to be that it doesn't include a tropical source. It is more purely cooler thermodynamic/baroclinic, and as such a weaker total cyclonic recovery takes place when this ...weirdness closes off. In and of itself I suspect it is too strong ? Not certain on that; just a-priori on modeling tending to bias on the strong side with everything at this range ...only to Charlie Brown the top 10, 20 ...30% off results at go time... I think there's wiggle room in this scenario as far as amplitude results. The Euro on the other hand, heh. It pretty clearly indicates what it "thinks" is a kind of 'zygote' tropical entity straddling or just barotropic sidled to the frontalysis boundary, which it is extending between the Carolinas and mid way to Bermuda over these next 48 hours. WPC currently analyzes a stationary boundary with low on it, however. Still, it first appears more tropical in the phase space nearing 988 mb as it moves W toward the VA Capes lat (off shore).. Then drifts NNE toward the Benchmark, losing those characteristics in a less hospitable environment, before undergoing some sort of delayed baroclinic inject, it then re-deepens to 984 or so as it retrogrades back W along or S of LI.. Helluva sell for meticulous skill - I find that overall evolution either extraordinary, or ... unlikely to be so well handled and accurate by the Euro so precisely. We'll see. It's interesting... All of it I suspect is more open to uncertainty than many are likely aware. Just higher than normal for this range.

No shit ...

heh... let em have their fun. They need it. These addicts are rocking in their chairs, blood shot eyed and smelly in straight jackets withdraw for ...what has this been? 8 months since jack shit's happened? I think the February blizzard that only struck SE Mass and turned out be a blue baller for most else was the last d-drip of any stoning value they've had. lol No, but it is a nice homage of winter. You have a cool anomaly ( sort of ...) with high pressure N imparting NE/E trades into the area, and "some" kind of low stalling in a climo recognizable fashion.

https://phys.org/news/2026-09-unevenness-global-regional-speedups-emerge.html

https://phys.org/news/2026-09-unevenness-global-regional-speedups-emerge.html

It's significance is being masked some by CC. We have to consider this in a relativistic sense - Earth as we type and read is putting up the 2nd warmest it has ever been since humanity developed any awareness of the subject matter - a.k.a. hundreds of years. But this is also probably true in climate recreation/reanalysis going back much farther... It is a reasonable assumption that relative to that state of affairs, we have to be quite cold in fact to even get a negative anomaly day at all. It's both anecdotal, as well as objectively clear just by record and empirical data, that it is easier to be above normal, if only by decimals, than it is to be below by that same margin. ...etc Just a personal observation ... current hourly observations have 62 to 65 F over eastern Mass/coastal sites. From near I-495 and points went, we're 57-ish. We are actually getting an inverse thermal conditioning penetrating from the ocean. It's not that unusual to do so in general? During the cold months/winter, when there is a coastal cyclone with flow coming from the NE/E, this often takes place. However, doing it under fair where not full sun, in September, during this latter leg of CC no less... very relative. Particularly when/while the rest of the planet is so warm, ... it may even argue that we are, in the relative sense, one of the coldest locations there is per latitude at this moment. When it is long proven harder to actually get a negative day at all.

It's not really noise though if one can identify the cause of the differences... Not meaning to be priggish ...just that it seems pretty clear - to me - that if the smear cross Cuba and gets pulled in en masse like the Euro, it's getting a huge physical feedback from that. I think Scott mentioned feedback yesterday - no arg there but 16 dm of?! "Noise" seems like a spray of offsetting probabilities... Well, this explains where. The GFS is less proficient with that infusion... The Euro, more. Results follow - But I agree, higher resolution is worth wondering -