Typhoon Tip

No, your villainizing the wrong person They were talking about climate change, and the usual suspects were in this denial mode again. I asked them salient questions, based upon incontrovertible logic and actual science already proven…and then was called an asshole by Steve for it Sorry, I was triggered I wasn’t talking about fucking temperature trends. And I’m still pissed off they can both go to f hell

And you’re an ignoramus worse yet you’re an ignoramus masquerading as righteousness when you’re not fucking right about anything. you’re completely in the wrong on this and your abstinence in even trying to understand global warming is what’s actually reprehensible. And I’m through with it. I’m sick of it. I’m tired of you and people like you and it’s time to pull you guys and make an example I don’t care what you think of me for having said this; the truth needs to be said You and people like you are a problem for humanity. you’ve been told in flat undeniable logic, and you still can’t penetrate your mind Don’t respond to me ever again put me on ignore and just shut the fuck up you ignorant asshole

The truth hurts, Steve? I didn't say anything untrue There's nothing elitist about subject matter that you either don't understand, or just don't believe in. Either way... . You've always been a truculent insufferable blue collar nimrod with clear resentment issues over your station, who's also routinely lied about your env sci creds over the years - made patently obvious whenever you type - and then hide over the internet when being disrespectful. If someone has clad argument other than abstinence, I'm sure the consensus here will be glad to engage with them. You you and him ...and people like you are on the wrong side of history and truth. How's that for elitist - eat shit.

What is your reticence in accepting this very simple, objectively real fact that anthropomorphic C02 forcing is causing an acceleration of warming? You either lack the mental capacity, or you are fucking with us...either way, this grows tiresome and in fact - it matters that it is growing tiresome, because people like you, not respecting the peril the world is facing, are ultimately a detriment to finding a salvation from and panacea for this crisis. I'll explain this once in simple words: Yes, obvious records reveal that climate varies naturally over a wide range of time scales, but never as fast as since the Industrial Revolution. And as others have directly described in no uncertain terms, this has been verified by atmospheric chemistry to be 1:1 correlated to C02 surplus that cannot be explained as originating from any other source. Moreover, "normal variability" ( to which you don't know your ass from a hole in the ground frankly because you have no accredidation to demonstrate otherwise ) cannot explain the observed warming since the 1950s - until the C02 humanity is responsible for is factored. Hook line and sinker. It is therefore among the most extremely likely scenarios known to statistical math, > 95%, that human C02 ( and actually there are also other industrial out-gassing that contribute, btw) is the cause of that warming. There is no other cause. Global Warming is happening because of anthropomorphic forcing. The beauty of all this is that it is true whether you believe it or not.

Well, anyway ... the increased variability and variance range ( large warm to cellar cold) that's been observably increasing during both autumn and spring ( transition seasons ) has already been geophysically demonstrated to be a function of CC. The altering of the circulation modes during those times of the year causes jet stream 'meanders' that increase frequency of transient blocking in the Ferrel latitudes ( up there around 60 N). Those impose unusually early ( and late season) cold and snow delivery to mid latitudes. But the integral of the whole Earth at the time that is occurring is in a state of d(warmth). But ... if one cannot understand the reality of CC to begin with... not sure how explaining why the circulation modes are changing, as part of CC, will ever get successfully registered. Not understanding how or why something works, is not a veracious reason to adjudicate a subject matter as false. I suspect though that isn't the case here; no one is lacking the intellectual capacity; the lack of admitting or acceptance is most likely for political bias blinding.

Is it possible that the scaffolding that builds up the antithetical position may be flawed science ?

yeah, it's unlikely to be right

Since the provisions of industrial convenience uncoupled humanity from reliance on natural settings to survive - settings outside of the industrial domain... It's a socio-evolutionary predicament, where people aren't just entitled; they don't realize they're living in a state of provision that's a presumption - like that is nature. And so it allows them to flout the science that was used in making their lives and experience be what they are.

Not sure how we can logically disconnect the winter behavior from CC ... duh

The astute ( actually ...it doesn't take being very astute at all ) observer might point out how that longer term recording is a "serrated" trajectory. That means there are up periods ... and there are down periods.... but, the longer termed has proven that down has dominated the total journey.

What I think is amazing is how the global temperatures have risen at nearly a 1::1 correlation (proportionality) to that Keeling Curve spanning the same decades ... yet, they are not related! whooah - says people with accredited advancing research degrees that exhaustively plied through every thermodynamic physical methodology that has ever been known to man, too - You know, there is certainly a right to free speech. But, heh ...there is certainly just as much right to being roundly ignored, even chastised, for disconnect from reality, brick for a skulls walking around hee-hawing in abstinence over what science ( the pursuit of truth, mind you) has been 100% backing timelessly yeah...really amazing

it's likely wrong... I mean for one, that model's not going to resolve idiosyncratic in situ synoptic elements, because the climatology normalizing aspect ends up muting those specific signals. case in point, at 48 to 72 hours there's a lead s/w in Indian/southern Lakes, that skirts out ahead of the main trough, priory to it going through that amplitude out there are 84-96 ... that little piece of shit is a ruiner. it is in destructive interference with what probably could have been a CFS type solution. the CFS doesn't even have that lead wave. the other guidance all do, and as a consequence have to generate a second wave forming along b-c axis down around eastern VA, but they then fail to really get it's act together soon enough ... the ensemble of the EPS bombs that that thing in the GOM... way to late (btw). If it were not for the lead pos mentioned above, than the event emphasis would probably be the feature. it's not impossible that thing modulate in that direction but it would be pretty rare at this range for the the other more dependable guidance types. i was just bringing it up more tongue-in-cheek. but yeah, it's nice eye candy. ha.

So if this Climate tainted version of the GFS model known as the CFS is going to be right ... one would think these 12z runs are going to have to at least start to represent. It's only 84 f'um hours away. There's a bit of an implication there in the 'climate' part - where in the past, this kind of trough/synoptic evolution ended up producing an NJ model quick deepener/ with cold rain over to snows scenario. Why else is this model keep insisting this set up like below. It isn't the first run (0z) that was selling this. But of course we know now that CC's proooobably ruined that from ever happening going forward . It's okay - because CC doesn't exist anyway, right

https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/06/climate/amazon-lakes-heatwave-hot-tub-dolphin-death

Graupel shower with gusty winds through Ayer an hour or so ago. Bouncing rattling particles with more frozen then liquid at one point. Some of the bigger pieces seemed to carry a bit in the wind, so it gave the affect as though it really wanted to flip. Could see the curtains in the sky moving quickly by. The sun was milked by anvil cirrus as it moved off ... low top convection-like. But the freezing level/mix temp types were not far over head. First frozen of the season in the books!