mitchnick
Members-
Posts
27,955 -
Joined
About mitchnick

Profile Information
-
Gender
Not Telling
-
Location:
Hanover, PA
Recent Profile Visitors
The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.
-
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Another slight improvement, this time the Ukie ensembles, but far from a hit near either metro area. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
18z GEM. Top link to 500mb at 84hrs and bottom is precip same time. Slight improvement but hard to say where it would go from there. Other parameters are found in the drop down to the right of rhe word MAP. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084 https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&stn=PT&hh=084&map=na&stn2=PNM&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&hh2=084&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well, it's working. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
We oughta' give up more often. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
No, to the Icon, Ukie, and Canadian (for its last 2 or 3 runs.) -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Last 4 gfs runs. Keep an eye on the system north of the Dakotas and how the closer it gets, the further east our storm goes -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gotta get home! They don't plow snow down there very well. Lol -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
This place is nice and a shorter trip by an hour +. It's got a decent restaurant for hotel food, including a great breakfast buffet, and close (within walking distance) to other restaurants too. https://hiltongardeninn.bookonline.com/hotel/hilton-garden-inn-outer-banks-kitty-hawk?id2=127615453378&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=14388994732&gbraid=0AAAAABov2PZhb7oN0KEuhIv9VsotO2Q5Q&gclid=Cj0KCQiAhOfLBhCCARIsAJPiopPfC_Fxoni12uQ9_oO7O_MVFtOK11mhIAuqbrNFfuKtEo8LUyZhQ48aAmUpEALw_wcB -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Way ots -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
And I would venture to say that it's because of the historic cold pressing that it is south. There are a few of our major snowstorms that were proceeded by historic cold, but 90%+ were not as overwhelming as this air mass. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Helluva block -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
If you run this 500mb vort prog in motion you can see around the Great Lakes the trough pushing a ridge overtop that's shoving our system SE. I think this is fairly representative of all the models. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2026012812&fh=1 -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah...you still rub me the wrong way though! -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
In northern AA County, every once and a while little would would start to fall steadily, then dwindle to flurries, only to rub salt in the wound. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mitchnick replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
And therein lies the rub.
