mitchnick

Anyone other than me notice the Gfs Kuchera is more than the 10:1 map? That's impressive for mid-March.

We're not here for insight, we're here for entertainment....and the 18z is just that!

For this year it is.

It'll drift south over the coming days.

Euro lost the threat, but it's AI cousin has it.

I was through your quaint little town yesterday. I got rear-ended in York last week with $11K+ in damages. At first the insurance company was going to pay to repair but more work was probably needed so they totalled it. Not happy. Anyway, near identical car to mine was for sale at a dealer in Selinsgrove, so I went up there and got it. Accidents suck, but fortunately my wife and I weren't hurt because the jeep that hit us slid above the bumper and crinkled the body lessening the impact, but causing more damage. I gotta shlep up there next week to pick it up and pay. I'll wave as I come through.

All 3 ensemble snowfall forecasts are pretty decent for any time of the year, and especially for mid March. The only issue for consideration is that the ensembles are 10:1 and Kuchera on the operationals is less than 10:1 in varying degrees depending on surface temps.

Nobody and no model can accurately predict the strength of Niños or Niñas the first week of March for the following winter. Anything to try to be the first and for clicks.

In a little town of Aldie no doubt? Lol

That week is probably our last legit shot until next year.

You could say today's Euro weeklies cooled down a bit starting week 3. Lol https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202603020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202603230000 It ain't over until we say it is!

Click bait in the sense it's sensationalized. I know Webb is legit, but the need for clicks is never ending it seems.

Too early to declare strength of Niño imho. Just click bait.

Don't know where to put this, but here it is. New Cansips pretty sweet for next year. This is a link to December, 2026. Scrolling thru to February shows lots of blocking. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to SSTA map starting December. Looks solid moderate Niño. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=global&pkg=ssta_noice&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to surface temps starting December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=eus&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to precip starting December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=eus&pkg=apcpna_month&runtime=2026030100&fh=9

Yeah, I screwed up putting it inbthus thread. I'll delete my post here and repost it. Then your post will make better sense.