mitchnick

6z Euro and Eps

Just gunna' post this! Certainly, best case.

Climo is always a viable option forecast at 4-5 days. It may be right, but it may be wrong. It's too early on this one. I will say that I'd love to see this a hit along the lines of the Euro 12z because I'm a firm believer that the first threat event gives a strong hint at the winter's seasonal pattern.

Typical for 4 days out.

18z Euro went weak pos, but further south a touch.

Looks like my days posting in this forum will be over if that comes close to verifying.

Kuchera for better or worse.

A weak p.o.s. is on the table imho. Without a stronger higher, the cold air will give up on the fight easier and we'll lose lift. So I'm not feeling locked in on any scenario at this point.

Personally feel that'll be the trend in keeping with the season. How far, who knows. Still think we're all in the game, but odds do favor N & W like 80-90% of all snow chances around here.

Icon isn't great, but it has creeped further south making it a lot closer than 0z and 6z.

We'll take anything we can get.

Euro is a N&W event similar to map above.

Ukie is a light event, but I didn't bother to look how it got there.

I saw that, but there's always one that clings on to a fantasy. That said, still time to salvage something, but we better start seeing hints of our salvation sooner than later.