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mitchnick

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. Idk what's going to come of next winter, but this Stormsurf link has a lot of info and I've posted it before. Watching it the past 10-14 days, I'm not seeing off the Cfs links the things that were showing up back in 23/24. First of all, the SSTA graphs are starting to show a much weaker Nino. Likewise, as Chuck's mentioned, the SOI ain't cooperating. But what I find more compelling is the 3 month MJO forecast. The westerly wind anomalies represented by the yellow/red, seem to be stuck west of the dateline except for a brief intrusion east mid/late April-mid May. Moreover, there remains pockets of blue (easterly wind anomalies) scattered east of the dateline through the end of the forecast period in late June. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html I know it's early, but if that forecast doesn’t start showing some substantial changes, strong or super Niño forecasts look like a tough sell.
  2. Snow in Hanover, but the back end is close. Just another reminder how this winter was a disappointment with snow.
  3. My office used to be in Hanover. In fact, Emergency Management may be in the same complex if I'm not mistaken. If it is the same complex, rest assured she'll have better choices in the area to eat than Popeye's.
  4. Fwiw, EuroAI still likes 26-28th period, but is on an island alone at this point.
  5. I was just going to post that the 12z Gfs had this. Surprised the Nam has it too.
  6. Thought I'dpost this off the 12z Gfs before @CAPE does. Lol
  7. 4 runs in a row on the Gefs giving me 6"+ of fantasy snow. I'll wait to see if it's still there after 3 more runs before looking under what circumstances or when it falls during the 360 hours. Lol
  8. No it won't. I hate severe, unless it's severe cold.
  9. Stopped precipitating here. Nam probably ends up right with it being SE, as I am defeated.
  10. All I can think of when I see Tofu in the store is an abbreviation of toe fungus.
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