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WxChallenge 2011-2012 SeasonTourney Time - Who's In?


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611 replies to this topic

#561
superjames1992

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View PostThunder Road, on 7 February 2012 - 02:57 AM, said:


Set an alarm on your phone for every weekday at 2330.
Good idea, actually. I have pretty much given up on this city, though, as it will almost assuredly be dropped now.

#562
WxMidwest

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View Postsuperjames1992, on 7 February 2012 - 12:05 AM, said:

Forgot to forecast again ... damn it!

It doesn't matter much since this is almost assuredly going to be my dropped city after forgetting a city last week, but this is just bad. I consistently remembered to forecast last semester, but I've had trouble remembering lately...


Sound like me, Tied for 54th after Day 2, then LOLs, went out and totally forgot.. I'll just wait till the next city...

#563
Thunder Road

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°F

i'm sitting in 4th at Valpo, but 2 of those above me are grads who aren't in the dept. anymore

I would probably be in 1st if I hadn't predicted 0.23" of rain on Friday :axe:

#564
H2Otown_WX

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°F

Placed 97th in the nation. :)

#565
Thunder Road

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°F

View PostH2Otown_WX, on 11 February 2012 - 10:46 PM, said:

Placed 97th in the nation. :)

Nice!

I finished somewhere in the 100s. 1st at Valpo though! (Which makes me a returning champion, I might add...)

#566
superjames1992

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Good news; I remembered to make a forecast today! :)

#567
Thunder Road

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°F

Has anyone from here suggested a city for the TBA weeks yet?

I'm waiting for my registration to be approved...but I think I'm going to throw Astoria, OR (KAST) into the pile of suggestions, since we didn't have a Pacific coastal city this year (the last 2 years used Seattle, and a year or two before that was Crescent City, CA) and the Pacific coast in Spring has marine layers and other fun things like that to deal with. Not to mention that the parade of major storms into the Pac NW might continue right into Spring.

#568
superjames1992

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View PostThunder Road, on 13 February 2012 - 08:49 PM, said:

Has anyone from here suggested a city for the TBA weeks yet?

I'm waiting for my registration to be approved...but I think I'm going to throw Astoria, OR (KAST) into the pile of suggestions, since we didn't have a Pacific coastal city this year (the last 2 years used Seattle, and a year or two before that was Crescent City, CA) and the Pacific coast in Spring has marine layers and other fun things like that to deal with. Not to mention that the parade of major storms into the Pac NW might continue right into Spring.
We should do Guam for kicks and giggles.

Talk about an easy forecast! :lmao:

#569
ctsnowstorm628

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°F

View PostH2Otown_WX, on 11 February 2012 - 10:46 PM, said:

Placed 97th in the nation. :)
55th here! :)
4th at LSC though..lol
I was 13th until the qpf went way up on day 8. lol

#570
L.B. LaForce

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°F

Finished 22nd in the nation for KMSY, but not doing so hot already in KPVD, temp has dropped like a rock...grr

#571
wxmeddler

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Ouch! 24 for the low.. :poster_oops: The lowest I saw from anyone was NWS-BOX with 25. Props to them and their grid.

#572
Quincy

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°F

not sure how such high radar returns have only yielded 0.06" of pcpn so far :underthewx:

#573
wxmeddler

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View PostQuincy, on 16 February 2012 - 09:25 PM, said:

not sure how such high radar returns have only yielded 0.06" of pcpn so far :underthewx:

Correlation Coefficient says its bright banding..

#574
H2Otown_WX

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View PostL.B. LaForce, on 14 February 2012 - 02:13 AM, said:

Finished 22nd in the nation for KMSY, but not doing so hot already in KPVD, temp has dropped like a rock...grr
I live relatively close to PVD and this place is stumping me...hoping it's my drop city lol

#575
Dsnowx53

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So the lowest score in each semester is dropped? Meh, I wish I could pick 2 from last semester instead :P

#576
Thunder Road

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°F

It's a shame nobody else at VU is even trying anymore. If they were I wouldn't keep coming in 1st.

44th overall.


I wish in the future they would delete inactive players. Like after the 4th climo-ed forecast in a row, they're dropped, so we can see how many people are actually still playing.

#577
Dsnowx53

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View PostThunder Road, on 25 February 2012 - 07:18 PM, said:

It's a shame nobody else at VU is even trying anymore. If they were I wouldn't keep coming in 1st.

44th overall.


I wish in the future they would delete inactive players. Like after the 4th climo-ed forecast in a row, they're dropped, so we can see how many people are actually still playing.

Me too. I know there are almost 2000 "participants", but I want to know how many people are actually playing.

62nd in PVD, after being 448th through day 6. I'll take it.

#578
Dsnowx53

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Pretty windy in KABQ! And interesting that the 18z GFS had a huge spike in the high temperature.

I ended up going 51/37/40/0.00

#579
wxmeddler

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47/34/36/0.00

A tad skeptical on that 45 kts on the 18z GFS MOS. :yikes:

#580
Dsnowx53

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http://www.nws.noaa....ate.php?wfo=abq

Looks like a 45mph (39 knot) climate report.

#581
phil882

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View PostDsnowx53, on 29 February 2012 - 01:21 AM, said:

http://www.nws.noaa....ate.php?wfo=abq

Looks like a 45mph (39 knot) climate report.

Yea, quite a bit higher than the hourly METAR reports... but not too surprising given expectations. Looks quite a bit more tranquil today.

#582
Thunder Road

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°F

forgot my forecast for the first (but certainly not the last) time this semester. oh well, i had guidance in and i haven't guidance-d yet so no penalty.

#583
wxmeddler

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°F

Temp just jumped 10°F in the last hour with a DP of 3.7°F.

And some Altocumulus lenticular clouds to the south and SE.

METAR KABQ 011856Z 26019G29KT 10SM SCT110 SCT150 17/M16 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP063 ACSL E-SE T01681157 PNO $

#584
Thunder Road

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°F

Ugh, guidance went with 49 knots. :axe:

Srsly?

#585
Thunder Road

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°F

wtf is with guidance going 61 knots today at ABQ?

I only went like 21 or something, which is proving to be a major low-ball, but really? 61 knots?

#586
LocoAko

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View PostThunder Road, on 8 March 2012 - 04:29 PM, said:

wtf is with guidance going 61 knots today at ABQ?

I only went like 21 or something, which is proving to be a major low-ball, but really? 61 knots?

The resolution of the GFS can't properly handle the topography, I think. It has consistently been high (though this is absurd).

#587
Quincy

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°F

Well, climo report has 48 mph (:

#588
wxdudemike

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Everyone ready to forecast some pop up storms in Hilo? :) :axe:

#589
superjames1992

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View Postwxdudemike, on 11 March 2012 - 09:27 PM, said:

Everyone ready to forecast some pop up storms in Hilo? :) :axe:
I feel like I'm taking a shot in the dark with precip.

#590
superjames1992

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I feel like I've been pretty lazy this semester as far as my forecasting goes, yet I did pretty decent at Providence and finished 219th at Albuquerque. Still around 500th for the semester and ~425th for the year, though.

#591
Dsnowx53

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View PostLocoAko, on 8 March 2012 - 04:42 PM, said:



The resolution of the GFS can't properly handle the topography, I think. It has consistently been high (though this is absurd).


Then what was the problem with the NAM being so absurdly low every day? That 18z GFS run wasn't too far off from reality that day :P

#592
wxdudemike

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View Postsuperjames1992, on 12 March 2012 - 12:58 PM, said:

I feel like I'm taking a shot in the dark with precip.

Yeah seriously. The precip history for March so far shows anything from a trace to 4.8 inches LOL

#593
superjames1992

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I hurriedly entered my forecast right before my lab this evening. I just got back and saw this in my email.

Quote

You entered the following forecast for PHTO - Day 8 (20120323). Forecasts are in (High/Low/Wind/Precip) format.

75 / 66 / 77 / 0.00

The forecast was removed from the system for the following reason(s):

- Your wind speed is statistically abnormal.


:axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe:

I meant to put a 7 knots in for my wind speed and instead entered 77 knots. FML.

A missed forecast I can't really afford.

#594
Thunder Road

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View Postsuperjames1992, on 22 March 2012 - 08:19 PM, said:

I hurriedly entered my forecast right before my lab this evening. I just got back and saw this in my email.

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:axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe: :axe:

I meant to put a 7 knots in for my wind speed and instead entered 77 knots. FML.


A missed forecast I can't really afford.

Talk to your coordinator. He/she might be able to help you out there.

#595
H2Otown_WX

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°F

This city has completely and utterly embarrassed me... :arrowhead: Hoping to hop back up on the saddle @ Lincoln.


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