steve392 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 6 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Dry and sunny days lead to an overperformance of high temps. Friday probably hits 80. Low 70s Halloween Gross! Starting to remind me of 2024 fall minus the wildfires. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 hour ago, steve392 said: Gross! Starting to remind me of 2024 fall minus the wildfires. Every even year this decade (2020, 2022, and 2024) has had record warmth in the early part of November. It looks like the trend will continue this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago 48 overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago The AIFS ensembles are particularly warm for the first week of November. The regular ECMWF ensembles are still warm (highs in the 60s), but cooler than their AI counterparts. The extended range of the NBM is also closer to the regular ECMWF ensembles. Both sets of ECMWF ensembles have high spreads (uncertainty), especially after November 3. However, the uncertainty concerns the magnitude of warmth, not whether it will be warmer than normal. The idea of a warmer than normal start to November has been a recurrent theme on the guidance. The most recent ECMWF weekly guidance is below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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