2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[Tyler Penland]

36 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

My low was 41 degrees and my high was 74 today. Beautiful. 

We had our first 30s of the season at 39. Was 38 down on the river below me and 45 a few hundred yards up the hill. Wild how big a swing you can get with radiational cooling in the valleys this time of year.

[Met1985]

6 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

We had our first 30s of the season at 39. Was 38 down on the river below me and 45 a few hundred yards up the hill. Wild how big a swing you can get with radiational cooling in the valleys this time of year.

Yeah no kidding.  These microclimates around here are fun to watch.

[Buckethead]

Yeah no kidding.  These microclimates around here are fun to watch.

I was at 53 at 7am at the house at 4360 while 1.5 miles away it was 41 at my office at the bottom of the mountain at 3200'. Never ceases to amaze me.

Sent from my SM-S948U using Tapatalk

[Maggie Valley Steve]

45 at the house this morning. TS Isaias is strengthening fairly quickly overnight ahead of schedule and the forecast track has shifted E to near Mobile Bay. NHC in their 5 AM discussion stated that the track could shift further E later today and Hurricane Watches are likely this afternoon along portions of the Northern Gulf Coast. Both Air Force and NOAA aircraft will begin low level sampling missions today. 

[Met1985]

When I left the house my temp was 45 degrees.  I'm really hoping we at least get an inch of rainfall this weekend. 

[Met1985]

42 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

45 at the house this morning. TS Isaias is strengthening fairly quickly overnight ahead of schedule and the forecast track has shifted E to near Mobile Bay. NHC in their 5 AM discussion stated that the track could shift further E later today and Hurricane Watches are likely this afternoon along portions of the Northern Gulf Coast. Both Air Force and NOAA aircraft will begin low level sampling missions today. 

Yeah I think this thing comes East on the inland track as well. Should bring us some very beneficial rains.

[Tyler Penland]

HWRF slams the escarpment on rainfall. A further east track sets up nearly perfect enhanced southeast flow. It bumps PWATs up to nearly 2" with 30-40kt southeast winds at 925mb. 

[Maggie Valley Steve]

Afternoon updated 5 Day QPF forecast is out.

[Met1985]

38 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

Afternoon updated 5 Day QPF forecast is out.

Honestly I hope this thing moves east. We need the rainfall.  May cause minor flooding but it is what it is.

[Moonhowl]

3 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Honestly I hope this thing moves east. We need the rainfall.  May cause minor flooding but it is what it is.

A bit different antecedent moisture conditions now than before the last tropical system that came this way to say the least.  Scary dry IMBY, definitely want the rain but not the wind.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

I'm not to concerned about a significant wind threat at this time as Isaias will likely have transitioned to Extra Tropical by the time it makes it to our latitude. Looks like less than an inch near the border and 1 to 3 inches along the Escarpment with a couple of isolated total of 4 to 6 inches in upslope areas. A weak cold front arrives Friday setting up CAD that actually could reduce rainfall amounts. The highest gusts I'm currently seeing are in to 30 to 35 range. I'll take a closer look in the morning for our local Region.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

The 5PM Update shows Isaias stronger with sustained winds of 65. Tropical Storm Force wind extend out 60 miles from the center. The track was adjusted further E giving a nod to the AI guidance.