Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread

[jaxjagman]

42 minutes ago, KakashiHatake2000 said:

Speaking of cooldowns could be one or temporary one maybe for northern portion of east tn I’m guessing is cold air damming https://x.com/mikewitchertv/status/2099181368206819389?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg


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Meh,the ridge is already setting in and looks to hold firm through out the next work week ATM

[KakashiHatake2000]

Oh okay gotcha


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[jaxjagman]

Maybe we are seeing a pattern change at least for a brief period upcoming,the IO is clearing out and the RRM's for the most part shows the MJO going into the WH next week.Some of the RRMS are going into the IO.This could cause the NINO background to get taking out and we do get a reprieve finally for a short time,believe it when i see it,already see the models showing a phoon headed towards S/Japan in the long range,this hasnt worked out very well in this strong NINIO and the phoon goes into East China and builds a ridge off SE Japan and we warm again