May 2026

[Brian5671]

Long duration rainstorm on tap-while it will help the drought the timing is awful.

[psv88]

What drought? I am genuinely confused at drought talk. Last few months:

May ; 3.36" - more to come

April: 2.93"

March: 5:04

Feb: 2.44 ( i dont melt down snow, so i missed some im sure). 

This year has not been dry at all. Last June and July were drier, but the fall was normal to above (5" in October). 

 

[Poker2015]

36 minutes ago, psv88 said:

What drought? I am genuinely confused at drought talk. Last few months:

May ; 3.36" - more to come

April: 2.93"

March: 5:04

Feb: 2.44 ( i dont melt down snow, so i missed some im sure). 

This year has not been dry at all. Last June and July were drier, but the fall was normal to above (5" in October). 

 

Even looking at the drought map, most of the area is barely in a drought. Yes, down south its a little worse in areas but not most of us.

Even before the last couple "dry" years, go back a few more years and we were averaging 3-4" more than normal every year for a while.

It all evens out.

[steve392]

.25" of rain from thunderstorm last night and rain today.  Plants woke up. Hoping grass greens up again quickly. 

[donsutherland1]

Cooler air has now returned to the region. Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and cool with highs topping out in the lower and middle 60s across the region.

Rain will develop on Saturday and continue into Sunday. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. The temperature will likely remain in the 50s all day on Saturday and struggle to reach the lower 60s on Sunday. The mercury will likely return to the lower 70s on Monday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.70°C. El Niño conditions are now in place. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -15.07 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.108 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.8° (0.6° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.