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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco


TheSnowman
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7 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

The EPS and the GEFS are still pretty similar. Pretty low odds for a significant storm >0.5" liquid for most. 

 

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image.thumb.png.27fef0a1114ff34348c559a7144e8815.png

 

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Let’s get more of these EP AIFS members NW

image.png

I really fail to see how anyone can take these two images in and be at a loss for where this is headed.

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2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

It’s like dryslot opined yesterday. When something major is imminent, you are inevitably going to see some huge hits. It’s just not there currently 

Yea, it's going to be relatively close in a geographical sense....got it, but it seems pretty definitive that we aren't getting a blizzard. Been my take for days and I'm not seeing anything to give me pause.

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We need the follow up crap over MN to weaken....DT mentioned that and it's a solid point.

Why? It’s the only model giving SNE a big event. We need to kick the system more north.

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2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Why? It’s the only model giving SNE a big event. We need to kick the system more north.

I’ve been trying to see how that plays in with this but I think we want that as well to help Fuji it more north. 

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Doesn't mean it's correct in doing so.

The Euro correctly has that energy kick the developing blizzard out over the ocean.

Wait…are we looking for ways to snow or a way to boot it OTS?

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6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Should we do a wellness check?

No, I mean there's a need for a narrative, because people want big solutions, and then you have a counter narrative in every storm, "it's gone." 

Every model in this context is evidence of an outcome that isn't just some middling thing, it's all heading to something else. 

I know the solution tends to more accuracy as we have better information and more time, but it could head to where it is, some brush of an event, or anything else within a reasonable envelope.

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No. Watch DT's video. There is some sort of communication gap that I don't have time to bridge right now. Honest statement...it's not at all a shot at Brian.

I think a big issue is what happens east and northeast of Maine. That is what some models focus on with the flow not buckling enough. 

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