February 2026

[Daniel Boone]

16 minutes ago, Weatheriscool said:

So nothing of importance to discuss locally? Asking for a friend. 

Not really unless the GFS scores a Coup.

[John1122]

20 minutes ago, Weatheriscool said:

So nothing of importance to discuss locally? Asking for a friend. 

A hail mary shot in elevated Eastern areas this weekend.  Severe thread may have some activity. Otherwise, spring-like weather as we close February and begin March. 

[Carvers Gap]

3 hours ago, Weatheriscool said:

So nothing of importance to discuss locally? Asking for a friend. 

18z GFS still has some snow for the Plateau, NE TN region, and Apps.  It is more aggressive than other models.  I don't trust it at this point.  So, instead of a thread that is flatlined....just talking Mammoth.  

[Carvers Gap]

3 hours ago, Weatheriscool said:

So nothing of importance to discuss locally? Asking for a friend. 

I continue to feel semi-confident in a pretty strong cold shot during March.  As I noted earlier, timing that is not easy.  I would put the worst of the cold between March 10-April 10.  I don't think that entire time frame will be cold.  I just think there is a pretty rough cold shot in there.  If forced to pick a timeframe, I would take March 14-28th as the worst....and it could be much BN.  The Weeklies have been pretty adamant that the earlier winter pattern will repeat sometime between March 15-30th.  I do think we may well track one last storm.  For now, the Olympics and Mammoth have my attention.  I don't do severe.

[Carvers Gap]

I should add that the Euro operational at 12z wasn't particularly warm.  Some chances are embedded in that run.

[Carvers Gap]

And just to add...I do think the 12z Euro and 18z GFS have enough cold and amplification where we could still score some snow.  I honestly haven't looked a ton over the past few days...but they don't look terrible.

[Carvers Gap]

Windows would be Feb 27, March 2nd, and March 5th.....nothing huge, but times to watch.