colonel717 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Icon so consistent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Now let's not blow this lead... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Now let's not blow this lead... We love living on the edge . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Now let's not blow this lead... You talkin about the Pens or this storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: What model is this? I don't recognize it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Jesus, if that’s like 15 miles west of where it’s modeled… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago .People in Morgantown are really all over the place right now. They have models giving them 18 inches and models giving them 5 inches. That damn WTOD gets to them first and screws them.Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, TimB said: Jesus, if that’s like 15 miles west of where it’s modeled… then there will be a lot of crashing out here in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago is the new sampled data going to be in the fresh GFS and Euro runs again tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Isn’t that like a next gen rapid refresh model? I would think that would have a warm bias in this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: People in Morgantown are really all over the place right now. They have models giving them 18 inches and models giving them 5 inches. That damn WTOD gets to them first and screws them. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk And we know what happens. Does the WTOD ever just stop at the Mason-Dixon? (Rhetorical question) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Burghblizz said: Isn’t that like a next gen rapid refresh model? I would think that would have a warm bias in this range. I think its also important to remember that it is a prototype and definitely not operational. I would imagine it has some bias. However, as i looked a little closer to that run, the mix line doesnt advance much past the PA border. It must be the bad ratios that make their way in and cut off on some of the bigger numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: Isn’t that like a next gen rapid refresh model? I would think that would have a warm bias in this range. It is. I wouldn't take it serious. It still not good enough to replace NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: You talkin about the Pens or this storm? Yes... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago And we know what happens. Does the WTOD ever just stop at the Mason-Dixon? (Rhetorical question)Did you see my comment a bit earlier. Lol I unfortunately know all too well how it goes living in the south South Hills. Lol It sure likes to creep up here with storms like this. All we can do now is wait. Whatever happens happens.Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, colonel717 said: It is. I wouldn't take it serious. It still not good enough to replace NAM. I think it’s a potential replacement for HRRR/RAP and those tend to compound thermal errors outside of 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago here is the sounding for the NAM when the sleet makes it closest to SAGC. Can you imagine getting sleet at while it is 17° at the surface?! would be wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: is the new sampled data going to be in the fresh GFS and Euro runs again tonight? Yes, GFS had more than NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: here is the sounding for the NAM when the sleet makes it closest to SAGC. Can you imagine getting sleet at while it is 17° at the surface?! would be wild Areas near NYC are showing 5 inches of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago No mix on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is big hit again. No wtod close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS tellin yinz to chill 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago AIGFS no change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Gfs The consistency lately is something. But is it right or wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Gfs Lock her in!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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