December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread

[Carvers Gap]

OTH, if January and Feb got to pot....my winter forecast from June scores yet again.  LOL.  FTR, I hope it doesn't verify.  

I think Larry Cosgrove nailed this seasonal outlook with the exception of the first 2.5 weeks of December being cold.  I strongly encourage everyone to find him on FB and read that seasonal outlook.  He has been zigging while everyone else has been zagging.  If he is right, and I have no reason to think he isn't, we will all be happy by the end of Feb.  But as Larry noted, patience will be king this winter.

Just imagine this pattern, but with January cold forcing its way southeast.  What happens in November(and early December), the winter often remembers.

[Carvers Gap]

BTW, Larry's idea is that winter's worst is from late January into March...and rough at that.  Gotta run.   Sorry, I hadn't posted much this morning.  

Dear Facebook, as I was pulling out of the garage I ran over a can full of blue paint.  It exploded under my truck.  I didn't know it until I drove around my cul de sac - twice!  I got to scrub lots of asphalt and the garage floor.  Meanwhile, I had to do a NASCAR fast wash down of the truck in order to get it on the road for one of my kids.  Anyway, BN heights(aqua blue...don't even get me started on how that color wound up in paint storage) went all over the place!!!  Maybe it is some kind of sign.

Trust me, I would rather be looking at raging warm weather models.  Haha.  Don't have sympathy.  Just know if you are having that kind of day...you are not alone!!!