BarryStantonGBP Posted Friday at 09:48 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 09:48 PM 2 hours ago, Wannabehippie said: Tons of dry air out there right now. Even the NHC is making notes about it now how it will inhibit any development for the next few days. Unless that dry air lifts up, or otherwise gets out of the way, this will be a whole lot of nothing. some models have 91l forming in the subtropics but I've already pressed X to doubt the atlantic = dubai or Karachi RIGHT NOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 03:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:30 AM Might be DOA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted yesterday at 12:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:12 PM 30/30 probs this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted yesterday at 12:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:17 PM Quite the bust with this wave. The Euro AI did well on not biting on this one 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 03:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:17 PM 11 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Might be DOA Said this yesterday. The plug has been pulled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 03:23 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:23 PM With 91L kaput we will likely reach the historical peak of hurricane season (9/10-9/11) with no named storm in the Atlantic Basin. ACE season to date is now below normal. We're at 39 and normal is 47. Erin is responsible for 32 of those 39 ACE points. We're wasting peak season at this point so we're going to have some catching up to do if we want to get to normal which is 122. It still can be done though so we'll have to see what mid September into October can pull off. MJO forecast to go into more favorable phases by then but we've been playing a bit of kick the can on that so remains to be seen. Gut tells me watch out for something to lift out of the Caribbean toward the Gulf coast before all is said and done. I think if there is going to be a Major hit on the U.S. coastline this season it will be the gulf coast. Chances of an east major hit this season are low and decreasing for several reasons. Not expecting anything to get named over the next 5-7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 06:19 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:19 PM 2 hours ago, MANDA said: With 91L kaput we will likely reach the historical peak of hurricane season (9/10-9/11) with no named storm in the Atlantic Basin. ACE season to date is now below normal. We're at 39 and normal is 47. Erin is responsible for 32 of those 39 ACE points. We're wasting peak season at this point so we're going to have some catching up to do if we want to get to normal which is 122. It still can be done though so we'll have to see what mid September into October can pull off. MJO forecast to go into more favorable phases by then but we've been playing a bit of kick the can on that so remains to be seen. Gut tells me watch out for something to lift out of the Caribbean toward the Gulf coast before all is said and done. I think if there is going to be a Major hit on the U.S. coastline this season it will be the gulf coast. Chances of an east major hit this season are low and decreasing for several reasons. Not expecting anything to get named over the next 5-7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted yesterday at 08:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:50 PM 8 hours ago, Newman said: Quite the bust with this wave. The Euro AI did well on not biting on this one I've been saying all along that there was just too much SAL out there for development. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a limited amount of shower activity. Development of this system is not expected while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now