BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 09:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:28 AM lmao haha Invest 95LAs of 06:00 UTC Aug 03, 2025: Location: 33.2°N 73.5°WMaximum Winds: 30 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 1010 mbEnvironmental Pressure: N/ARadius of Circulation: N/ARadius of Maximum wind: 50 nm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 09:29 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 09:29 AM 1. Western Atlantic (AL95): A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally favorable for this system to potentially become a tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of North Carolina. Environmental conditions become less conducive for development after Monday. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 12:43 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 12:43 PM lmao 1. Western Atlantic (AL95): A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for this system to become a tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of North Carolina. After Monday, environmental conditions become less conducive for development. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 01:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:05 PM 3 hours ago, BarryStantonGBP said: 1. Western Atlantic (AL95): A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally favorable for this system to potentially become a 5 tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of North Carolina. Environmental conditions become less conducive for development after Monday. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percen Yea winds here in the Outebanks are sustained from the NE 20-30 with gusts to 40 mph. Water is closed to swimmers double red flags as the ocean is running 5-8 feet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted yesterday at 01:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:12 PM Was interesting watching this thing spin up right in front of me down in Carteret county. Had squalls from all directions. Picked up 2.12” of rain but only had a high gust of 35mph just off the water. High sustained was about 20mph. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 05:51 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:51 PM 1. Western Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the North Carolina coast. While satellite wind data show that the low is now producing gale-force winds, the system remains attached to a frontal boundary. However, environmental conditions are conducive for this system to acquire additional tropical characteristics, and a tropical storm is likely to form by Monday well east of the North Carolina coast. LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 05:59 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:59 PM someone please explain this @ed I thought Erin would become the african wave but idk now: TomballEd Category 2 Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion #8 Sun Aug 03, 2025 11:58 am Obviously still tied to the front and the center is elongated but this could go sub-tropical storm at any time depending who is on the shift at NHC. Will never amount to much, will be a low end storm and GFS weakens it quickly in a couple of days, but GFS suggests a future Dexter may have a sister Erin, which would also be weak but would have East Coast impacts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 06:27 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:27 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM renumbered from 95 to 4 by rammb https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=al042025 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 12 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: Yea winds here in the Outebanks are sustained from the NE 20-30 with gusts to 40 mph. Water is closed to swimmers double red flags as the ocean is running 5-8 feet. Good thing I left Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Dexter coming at 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago We got Dexter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted 18 hours ago Author Share Posted 18 hours ago 35 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said: We got Dexter. 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Dexter coming at 11 1 hour ago, FPizz said: Good thing I left Saturday. pathetic try again next time dexter morgan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The 12Z UKMET has Dexter eventually becoming a minimal 988 mb H on Thursday though that’s an outlier right now:TROPICAL STORM DEXTER ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N 67.5WATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042025LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WINDVERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------1200UTC 04.08.2025 0 35.0N 67.5W 1005 360000UTC 05.08.2025 12 36.3N 65.9W 1008 351200UTC 05.08.2025 24 37.8N 63.9W 1010 340000UTC 06.08.2025 36 39.2N 62.3W 1008 431200UTC 06.08.2025 48 39.5N 59.8W 1007 410000UTC 07.08.2025 60 40.3N 56.0W 1003 391200UTC 07.08.2025 72 41.2N 51.3W 993 540000UTC 08.08.2025 84 43.2N 46.2W 988 651200UTC 08.08.2025 96 45.0N 42.6W 985 480000UTC 09.08.2025 108 46.0N 36.8W 993 401200UTC 09.08.2025 120 47.2N 29.8W 999 360000UTC 10.08.2025 132 CEASED TRACKING 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 46 minutes ago, GaWx said: The 12Z UKMET has Dexter eventually becoming a minimal 988 mb H on Thursday though that’s an outlier right now:TROPICAL STORM DEXTER ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N 67.5WATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042025LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WINDVERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------1200UTC 04.08.2025 0 35.0N 67.5W 1005 360000UTC 05.08.2025 12 36.3N 65.9W 1008 351200UTC 05.08.2025 24 37.8N 63.9W 1010 340000UTC 06.08.2025 36 39.2N 62.3W 1008 431200UTC 06.08.2025 48 39.5N 59.8W 1007 410000UTC 07.08.2025 60 40.3N 56.0W 1003 391200UTC 07.08.2025 72 41.2N 51.3W 993 540000UTC 08.08.2025 84 43.2N 46.2W 988 651200UTC 08.08.2025 96 45.0N 42.6W 985 480000UTC 09.08.2025 108 46.0N 36.8W 993 401200UTC 09.08.2025 120 47.2N 29.8W 999 360000UTC 10.08.2025 132 CEASED TRACKING 2019 all over again 2014 all over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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