TV Severe Weather2025-?

[GBOVolz]

Week 2 has been growing NE over the last several days.




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[GBOVolz]

Any of you all going to be at the Knox County MRX certification tonight?


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[GBOVolz]

Tuesday d7 has has potential




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[GBOVolz]

Tuesday d7 has has potential




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[GBOVolz]

I don’t understand the double post


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[GBOVolz]

Appears that the first third of March could be active for severe. We have a remarkable signal for west trough and east ridge, with a strong jet stream driven by the still cold Arctic. SPC already has Wednesday in their Day 6, and that's probably just the beginning. Sometimes it's easier to infer long-range things from the heavy rain outlook(s).
Grey flooding is pretty much the 3-7 day outlook from WPC, but this is the long-range from CPC. Period below could feature record high temps from the Mid-South through Tennessee to the Mid-Atlantic. Heights look particularly anomalous over the Mid-Atlantic. Less extreme heights over the Mid-South with still near record surface temps could open the door for severe. 
Surace details are always TBD, especially a week out. In this situation one can be more confident than usual about week two moisture with the temps (CAPE) thanks to pattern recognition. Several troughs pass without driving the surface front south. That's a recipe for building moisture. 
All that said, those severe weather anxious should not worry 10 days out. Storm chasers though, need to get ready to roll. Both can be true. Chance of one place being hit is low. Chasers can go to the forecast area though.
My spring mode is activated.

I’m not sure severe (legit severe) is gonna make it east of Little Rock with the troughs getting kicked out. It’s crazy to think we are working with 80 degree temps and a large open warm sector during the first of March but our but our trough is headed towards Toronto.


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[GBOVolz]

Also I signed up at Aguacerowx. $15 a month ain’t bad. The graphics are good and the site is easy to navigate.


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