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Texas 2025 Discussion/Observations


Stx_Thunder
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On 1/16/2026 at 12:43 PM, Snowstorms said:

Might dip down to 22-24 tomorrow night across parts of DFW. Our coldest night of the winter so far. 

Officially the low was 23°F at DFW Airport this morning. It was also 31°F yesterday morning, both lows beat the forecasted lows.

Things could get quite interesting after ~ Jan 24th. We have a predominately negative EPO, WPO, AO with positive PNA. Displaced polar vortex at 50 mb down to southern Hudson Bay. MJO->7->8->1->2. Severely cold in Alaska, NW Territories, and Siberia. Strong blocking looking to develop over the top and a strong ridge over Alaska. This could set the stage for a significant dump of Arctic air into the CONUS and given the position of the ridge, Texas. Models starting to catch on to this idea. Significant signal in the majority of ensemble members of the Canadian, GEFS, and ECMWF. H5 pattern on ICON strongly showing a signal about this time. Our warm winter may be about to be turned around (hottest on record up til now).

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