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April 2024


bluewave
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11 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Don what's causing all this variability? Is the SE Ridge not strong enough to take over?

 

We're still in the seasonal transition. Variability is often higher at this time of year. Blocking has continued to occur. But when the warmth arises, it overperforms.

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I'm noticing almost kind of a jump on the maps from April into May. We seem to be quickly jumping into a much warmer possibly eventually hot summer pattern. Temperatures were modeled to be in the mid-upper 60s here for today and we're going to top out somewhere between 78-83. There is a southeast wind but it's very light and the temperatures have warmed quickly up until now with no clouds. By a week from now we could be at least flirting with 90. Both GFS and CMC show this. Bermuda HP trying to take shape as the nw Atlantic upper low gradually loses its grip.

WX/PTgfs_z500_mslp_us_32.png

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