Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[overcautionisbad]

2 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

I think you will be the  big  winner  om this  one. Hope you  get at  least  6 inches.

That's what she said!

[ldub23]

At  least this time there  is  no R/S line to worry  about

[JB Fins]

7 hours ago, wasnow215 said:

Which means HE also will bust

The man has more busts than Canton.

[JB Fins]

NBC12 ticker has us under Winter Storm Warning.  I thought something had changed overnight but just a pretty big mistake on their part has been running like that for over an hour.

[jlewis1111]

14 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said:

You must be anti-science.....

I couldn't even keep a straight face typing that

Oh I guess you believe in global warming too lmao 

[jlewis1111]

6 minutes ago, JB Fins said:

NBC12 ticker has us under Winter Storm Warning.  I thought something had changed overnight but just a pretty big mistake on their part has been running like that for over an hour.

weekend crew is horrible

[ldub23]

If radar  holds  up some  lt  snow  will be  here shortly. 15 flakes  per  minute right  now.

[ldub23]

[ldub23]

Based on radar  i can see how Raleigh gets whiffed

[Stormpc]

7 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

Based on radar  i can see how Raleigh gets whiffed

That should fill in once the coastal gets going unless the upper low robs them. I bet they get about 4 inches.

[Bob Chill]

All guidance has bumped south with qpf (in their own way) but I've already picked up an inch and it's steady light with bursts of mod high ratio snow. This is a tricky storm with 2 distinct areas of synoptics and dry air entrainment in between and around the periphery but so far in my yard guidance is busting too low. I hope that translates eastward into your yards. 

[ldub23]

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

All guidance has bumped south with qpf (in their own way) but I've already picked up an inch and it's steady light with bursts of mod high ratio snow. This is a tricky storm with 2 distinct areas of synoptics and dry air entrainment in between and around the periphery but so far in my yard guidance is busting too low. I hope that translates eastward into your yards. 

Where  is  Penhook? I  hope  it  overperforms

[ldub23]

I found an optimistic  model

 

[ldub23]

[Bob Chill]

1 minute ago, ldub23 said:

Where  is  Penhook? I  hope  it  overperforms

I'm just a few miles from the dam at Smitn Mtn Lake

[ldub23]

Interactive Weather Radar | Norfolk, Virginia | 13newsnow.com

[ldub23]

[D-Money]

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=AKQ-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

[ldub23]

4 minutes ago, D-Money said:

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=AKQ-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

As soon as  it  gets to the  border the dry  air  is  having a feast, lol

[ldub23]

If channel 13 future radar  is right  i can see how the southside  gets accumulating  snow.

[D-Money]

the NAM3k actually came in with no snow for any of our
area. The HRRR was not nearly as extreme, but kept measurable snow
confined to southside Hampton Roads and Northeast North Carolina. It
is true that there is quite a bit of dry air in place, but the
moisture brought in by the sfc low and the SW flow ahead of the
upper low aloft combined with the strong forcing from the upper low
and the FGEN band NW of the sfc low, should be enough to overcome
that. Do not want to completely disregard these solutions, but the
lack of consistency from run to run along with the lack of support
from the pattern do not yield much confidence

I picture it like a spray bottle set on mist. You’re trying to put out a fire(dry air) using that mist setting. Moisture just evaporates.

The hope is we can get a band or two from the coastal over head the area to see accumulation. People south of the VA/NC boarder should see accumulations. Southside maybe. The peninsula to Richmond and eastern shore probably won’t see anything outside of some dandruff floating around tonight. 

[D-Money]

ICON

[D-Money]

RDPS 

[Stormpc]

Dry air is eating away the north side of the precipitation over HR/NE NC. I see patches if blue skies above my area. Probably won't get going till afternoon  (if at all!!). Not sure anyone in our region gets 6 inches! Maybe 3-4 southside into NC. Not looking like our storm. 

[MonumentalNole]

1 hour ago, jlewis1111 said:

Oh I guess you believe in global warming too lmao 

I mean, only a complete blithering idiot wouldnt. Worse than flat earthers, those climate change deniers. At least flat earthers have the good sense to keep that crap to themselves.

[wasnow215]

Rgem snow maps anyone plz?

[D-Money]

3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Rgem snow maps anyone plz?

[D-Money]

22 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Dry air is eating away the north side of the precipitation over HR/NE NC. I see patches if blue skies above my area. Probably won't get going till afternoon  (if at all!!). Not sure anyone in our region gets 6 inches! Maybe 3-4 southside into NC. Not looking like our storm. 

Reminds me of a similar storm back in 2008 or 2009 maybe, similar snow maps the day of the storm. Schools and most businesses were all closed. I was commuting in to work that morning. Snow plows were parked on the shoulders of 264 and 664 just waiting. It was partly cloudy all day. North winds pumped in the drier air.

Elizabeth city did see several inches. 

[wasnow215]

38 minutes ago, MonumentalNole said:

I mean, only a complete blithering idiot wouldnt. Worse than flat earthers, those climate change deniers. At least flat earthers have the good sense to keep that crap to themselves.

Not gonna get into it back-and-forth but at least have to mention that of course the Earth has warmed the past 30 years or whatever it's been. But to what end? You see the doom and gloom climate change people keep trying to say "well because of it this bad thing is gonna happen or this bad thing is gonna happen." Some of it talking about "the end of the world" or cataclysmic destruction. But they keep moving the goal posts when those destructive things don't occur. It's irresponsible at best.
 

Because we look at things in years and decades, but the bigger picture is in centuries. All climate is cyclical. Climatologist Dr. Judith Cohen absolutely agrees with climate change but is vocal regarding the fact no one actually knows what long-term effects it will have. 

[wasnow215]

Does anyone know if that snow is reaching the ground in Lynchburg and Chatham and Halifax?