overcautionisbad Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago If Euro agrees with this it might be time to prep in RVA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Latest GDPS 12z GDPS to compare 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago RIC went from 1.9” at 18z to 8.9” at 00z on the gfs. Not saying it’s correct but the precipitation field did expanded northward. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago GEFS looked good. UK looked better but extremely sharp cutoff. 10” in VB. None in NN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: GEFS looked good. UK looked better but extremely sharp cutoff. 10” in VB. None in NN I will be able to smell the snow, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Gonna be a good clean snow. Rarely achieved in these parts. It will tick north with the precip field, IMO, but not enough to get beyond Leesburg to Manchester, at best. Banding is going to be everything for us HR folks. Where it sets up is anyone's guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Had a thought. Temps have not been quite as cold as predicted. Makes me think moisture will get in further north than models show 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 41 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: RIC went from 1.9” at 18z to 8.9” at 00z on the gfs. Not saying it’s correct but the precipitation field did expanded northward. It did absolutely. On the ensembles as well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Welp, DT put out his 1st Guess map. Nased it on ensembles from 18z it seemed He admits 2 inch line is aggressive. He seems to think moisture gets a bit further north than most models say 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago If you haven't already go to the SE forum. Less bitterness from the metro DC folk and more data. The models appear to be trending Richmond's way for the main event plus there's the 1"-3" Friday night. That's not nothing. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Welp, DT put out his 1st Guess map. Nased it on ensembles from 18z it seemed He admits 2 inch line is aggressive. He seems to think moisture gets a bit further north than most models say Sensible. But...I think he has had a pretty high failure rate? You all know more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago He also warned data points to blizzard conditions in OBX and Hampton Roads 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 hours ago, TampaMan said: Yeah, big OOF. If any of y'all can, go ahead and drive down to KDH this weekend for fun! Not going anywhere-RVA will cash in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Chesterfield south will do ok, I think. 360 south and east 6" seems doable with higher ratios 15:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago You know why we'll get 8 inches. Because I joined my favorite gym and it's been closed most of the week. So, life will be sure I'm stuck with home workouts next week too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 14 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Had a thought. Temps have not been quite as cold as predicted. Makes me think moisture will get in further north than models show Had the EXACT same thought today driving home from work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Wow, some of the DC crew are really butthurt. Must hate those gov jobs. 0z Euro not so good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Wow, some of the DC crew are really butthurt. Must hate those gov jobs. 0z Euro not so good 3-6" Kuchera -it's fine-wind gusts approaching 40 much of the time also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Imo I would rather the storm just blows up farther south in NC & the precip field expands north.. I’d rather just have a nice average 3 to 6 snowfall then have this move more north but the development hurt us and send dry air into this specific area… I think that is what the models are having a hard time predicting… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago SREF is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 8 minutes ago Share Posted 8 minutes ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 238 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ092-093-095>098-100-524-525-291700- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.260131T0600Z-260201T2100Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Northampton-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- 238 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 15 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 to 60 mph along the coast. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Whiteout conditions are possible and may make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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