ChescoWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Ah yes....JB has focused on his successful 50% of the nation White Christmas and has claimed victory with verification on tap for tomorrow. Certainly a nice call from late November. Now on to the current miss. As some here speculated he indeed mentioned as he always does the following "I could not have forecasted the upper pattern any better for all of this the past 3 weeks, including last weeks miss. The upper features are heading right to what I envisioned, its that simple, but the surface map is the problem" He goes on to call upon the ghost of Jan 2000 - every weenies favorite model failure that snow lovers still dream of. "In some way this is similar to a late January 2000 storm that shocked many on the east coast.... that too was an error of where the storm was developing in relation to a perfect upper pattern....upper lows moving from Kentucky to Nantucket and deepening dont normally dump no snow in the mid atlantic states" No doubt his web hits are climbing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 to throw out Jan 2000..wow..even the biggest weenies on this board don't do that..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 Keith...a true JB classic post! to throw out Jan 2000..wow..even the biggest weenies on this board don't do that..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 http://www.nohrsc.nws.gov/nsa/ He's got 4% to pick up today to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 He rounded up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 to throw out Jan 2000..wow..even the biggest weenies on this board don't do that..lol that storm was benign in NYC...6" with sleet and freezing drizzle is about as much as you can expect in a La Nina year...We'll be lucky if we get a storm like Dec. 22, 1975 when NYC got 2" and more fell on Long Island... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This storm is vindication for JB and has likely saved him this winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This storm is vindication for JB and has likely saved him this winter... lets wait until we are shoveling it...at least he wasn't doing the MODEL SHUFFLE all week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.nohrsc.nws.gov/nsa/ He's got 4% to pick up today to verify. and he does...50.3% today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Congrats to JB on his 50% call....very impressive from 1 month ago! and he does...50.3% today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 to throw out Jan 2000..wow..even the biggest weenies on this board don't do that..lol January 2000 is a case in point of what can happen with a La Niña storm; huge buildup, bonanza for some, disappointment for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 January 2000 is a case in point of what can happen with a La Niña storm; huge buildup, bonanza for some, disappointment for many. I dont remember that storm at all-- must not have been good for us lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 lets wait until we are shoveling it...at least he wasn't doing the MODEL SHUFFLE all week... Are you ACTUALLY disagreeing with every single weather model showing us a significant snowstorm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Ah yes....JB has focused on his successful 50% of the nation White Christmas and has claimed victory with verification on tap for tomorrow. Certainly a nice call from late November. Now on to the current miss. As some here speculated he indeed mentioned as he always does the following "I could not have forecasted the upper pattern any better for all of this the past 3 weeks, including last weeks miss. The upper features are heading right to what I envisioned, its that simple, but the surface map is the problem" He goes on to call upon the ghost of Jan 2000 - every weenies favorite model failure that snow lovers still dream of. "In some way this is similar to a late January 2000 storm that shocked many on the east coast.... that too was an error of where the storm was developing in relation to a perfect upper pattern....upper lows moving from Kentucky to Nantucket and deepening dont normally dump no snow in the mid atlantic states" No doubt his web hits are climbing!! I know people like to tweak JB, but seems like he deserves some kudos here for sticking to his guns, despite the models saying otherwise for awhile. Would still love to see some pro write up a post-mortem on this storm, especially with respect to model evolution vs. actual weather evolution and what was the key (or keys) to the models all being wrong for a few cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 I know people like to tweak JB, but seems like he deserves some kudos here for sticking to his guns, despite the models saying otherwise for awhile. Would still love to see some pro write up a post-mortem on this storm, especially with respect to model evolution vs. actual weather evolution and what was the key (or keys) to the models all being wrong for a few cycles. agree...This storm beat even his expectations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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