dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Hr 84 has a 997mb low in south central TN. Definitely should be a good run for us for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Franklin County 2" on Friday 6-8" for weekend storm total 8-10" Axis of heaviest has moved south about 25 miles A line from Cincy to Chillicothe to Pittsburgh. No mixing issues anywhere near us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Edit:buckeye is right about 25: miles south of last nights. Nearly takes cmh out of heavy snow. Takes me out of it for sure. Line from Cincinnati to Pitt down to Athens 10-12". North of that it quickly drops off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 rest of state is widespread 4-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, dilly84 said: 50 miles south of last nights. Nearly takes cmh out of heavy snow. Takes me out of it for sure. Line from Cincinnati to Pitt down to Athens 10-12". North of that it quickly drops off. disagree with the 'quickly droping off' part. 4-5" all the way up to Toledo. actually a nice spread the wealth Ohio storm with the heaviest centered where discussed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Take your pick. 3 models epic storm, euro, decent but nothing special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, buckeye said: disagree with the 'quickly droping off' part. 4-5" all the way up to Toledo. actually a nice spread the wealth Ohio storm with the heaviest centered where discussed I mean from the 10-12" it quickly drops off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I'm sure as heck not going to scoff at 8-10" with no mixing. Especially when you consider we were riding a slop line, (even though it was 12-15") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, buckeye said: I'm sure as heck not going to scoff at 8-10" with no mixing. Especially when you consider we were riding a slop line, (even though it was 12-15") I'm different lol. It gives me around 5". I'd rather have nothing. Give me something big with this setup or nothing at all. 4-5" is what I call hassle snow. Enough to have to go shovel but nothing to really be impressed with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I mentioned yesterday that this seemed like a storm where the sweet spot might 'only' be 6-10". I think there is still opportunity for a little better, especially if the wetter warmer models want to meet half way with the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dilly84 said: I'm different lol. It gives me around 5". I'd rather have nothing. Give me something big with this setup or nothing at all. 4-5" is what I call hassle snow. Enough to have to go shovel but nothing to really be impressed with You're gonna piss off the wx gods, lol. Remember, this is now the 'driest' model and it's giving you 5". Only way to get this way more juiced is to amp it up and then we all know that risk. Still some room in between though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, buckeye said: You're gonna piss off the wx gods, lol. Remember, this is now the 'driest' model and it's giving you 5". Only way to get this way more juiced is to amp it up and then we all know that risk. Still some room in between though. Yea but you're like me. I'd rather take the risk of amped up than not at all. In your case, you look good according to wxbell snow map for close to a foot. I'd take that in a heartbeat. The older I get the less I could care about 4 or 5 inches lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dilly84 said: Yea but you're like me. I'd rather take the risk of amped up than not at all. In your case, you look good according to wxbell snow map for close to a foot. I'd take that in a heartbeat. The older I get the less I could care about 4 or 5 inches lol. Actually Columbus is around 10" but that includes the 2" it claims we get tomorrow. To be honest a gfs/euro blend would be awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, buckeye said: Actually Columbus is around 10" but that includes the 2" it claims we get tomorrow. To be honest a gfs/euro blend would be awesome Yea you're correct. Wasn't taking into account the Friday. But that also means euro is giving from i70 west basically 2-3" Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 14 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Yea you're correct. Wasn't taking into account the Friday. But that also means euro is giving from i70 west basically 2-3" Saturday actually hoping the euro ens are bit north.... (wouldn't have expected that) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 good news bad news on the eps. bad news is it's coming in drier for the weekend thread good news is it loves i-70 for next weeks threat...and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I see we had some good luck while I was away. Being just north of the Euro's best snows right now is kind of comforting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Hey Guys-- greetings of the season! I have been lurking so far this winter, not posting....good to see all the usual members. Curious about timing...is the Euro any quicker with the onset of precip from the GFS or FVGFS (forget the ICON for now).... seemed like the weekend event didn't get going until 4 AM Sat or later for the OH crew? I am actually driving later Friday/early Saturday...from MO to CVG....been feeling pretty good about staying in front of the weather for the most part..with warmer temps and timing - to my destination several hours in advance of the precip onset. Was curious if anyone saw anything different on the timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: I see we had some good luck while I was away. Being just north of the Euro's best snows right now is kind of comforting. Just as I would be worried if the euro was the only model showing an amplified warm look, I'm equally worried that it's starting to show a progressive weak look. Hope a compromise with the gfs happens vs. a full on gfs cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, NoDoppler4TnySandz said: Hey Guys-- greetings of the season! I have been lurking so far this winter, not posting....good to see all the usual members. Curious about timing...is the Euro any quicker with the onset of precip from the GFS or FVGFS (forget the ICON for now).... seemed like the weekend event didn't get going until 4 AM Sat or later for the OH crew? I am actually driving later Friday/early Saturday...from MO to CVG....been feeling pretty good about staying in front of the weather for the most part..with warmer temps and timing - to my destination several hours in advance of the precip onset. Was curious if anyone saw anything different on the timing. I would think it's a post-dawn start vs. pre-dawn....like7-10am??? for CMH. Earlier for cincy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: Just as I would be worried if the euro was the only model showing an amplified warm look, I'm equally worried that it's starting to show a progressive weak look. Hope a compromise with the gfs happens vs. a full on gfs cave. Don't we have the Ukie too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ILN went colder for the Thurs event, bumped the up the snowfall too. hmmm ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Scratch everything I said about the eps, except the good news part. Last time I use someone else's info without checking first. EPS looks great.... more squarely through the center of OH and around 10" on average 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 lol I was looking at the numbers and even brought up your location! I was thinking to myself, what am I missing here. Looks like a pretty decent hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ILN added preliminary amounts to my Saturday forecast on the point and click map for northeast section of CMH. They must be feeling more confidence. Up to .3 inches of ice and up to 8 inches of snow during day Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z NAM doesn't look bad, never really deepens but gives a solid 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, dilly84 said: 18z NAM doesn't look bad, never really deepens but gives a solid 8" Improved over the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, NTXYankee said: ILN added preliminary amounts to my Saturday forecast on the point and click map for northeast section of CMH. They must be feeling more confidence. Up to .3 inches of ice and up to 8 inches of snow during day Saturday. Same here. 3-7" playing it safe with the wide spread amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Same here. 3-7" playing it safe with the wide spread amount Yeah they had 4-8 but I got lazy with the typing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 19 minutes ago, NTXYankee said: ILN added preliminary amounts to my Saturday forecast on the point and click map for northeast section of CMH. They must be feeling more confidence. Up to .3 inches of ice and up to 8 inches of snow during day Saturday. They seem to be trying to cover all the bases, throwing in basically every conceivable precipitation type, including rain. The new point has only 3-5" for Columbus down from 3-7" earlier. A little weird considering the trends today, but it's not like it's all set in stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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