Animal Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: After this storm, NYC (which should probably be at 23" or so with the questionable measurement in Jan's storm) will be about where it's at now, Boston should be over 40", PHL at 8", Harrisburg at 6" and DCA at 1.5". That's what I mean by a latitude winter. yea...NYC is having a solid year. Maybe I did understand your post. Thought you were informing NYC was having a bad snow year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 Snippet from Albany Average snow ratios through the event are expected to be 12-15:1 initially then drop back to 10-12:1 (near climatology) by late day Closer to the I84 corridor, model consensus favors a mix of snow/sleet and rain during the afternoon. Any slight deviations in the wet bulb profiles will have an impact on precip types. At this time, we will issue a winter storm warning for Ulster, Dutchess and Litchfield Counties with snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 15 minutes ago, danstorm said: I could go for some chowder in Portland right about now... Road trip anyone? They'll have a 3 ft snowpack Cantore is going to Portland.... last min shift? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 31.8... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Cantore is going to Portland.... last min shift? LolI'll be honest... Long range HRRR looks about where my thoughts are. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: I'll be honest... Long range HRRR looks about where my thoughts are. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk And that is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 11 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Cantore is going to Portland.... last min shift? Lol Wonder if Cantore will ever come to Poughkeepsie. I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCG RS said: I'll be honest... Long range HRRR looks about where my thoughts are. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk You see RGEM? Pounds areas north of rockland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Sill snowing 11pm.. hrrr really goes snow crazy, very little mixing 9...12.... then 11pm.... gonna be wintry tomorrow... look out to overperform This. @white gorilla Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 00z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 00z RGEM Drop that about 50 miles and you have my belief.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: Drop that about 50 miles and you have my belief. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk ice event is really far south to noaa forecast on these maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 ice event is really far south to noaa forecast on these maps.I'm sorry brother, I don't understand? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 12 minutes ago, USCG RS said: This. @white gorilla Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Thanks. Hope this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCG RS said: I'm sorry brother, I don't understand? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk map indicates freezing rain down to mercer county nj & bucks county pa if I am understanding the maps right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 0z's have been generally further south so far. as expected. temp's hovering around 28.5 here at 2000 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 54 minutes ago, danstorm said: That's why it'll be a kitchen sink deal for the majority of the NYC metro until you get north of NJ and into S CT I'm ever so slightly intrigued now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, Sophisticated Skeptic said: 0z's have been generally further south so far. as expected. Are you the artist formily known as ''bacon strips''? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 Quick glance, GFS looks like a spitting image of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Quick glance, GFS looks like a spitting image of 18z that will be solid... NCEP is slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Dan76 said: Are you the artist formily known as ''bacon strips''? artist. I like that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 9 PM obs: dew points in the mid to upper 20's so overnight precipitation likely would be a mix of light rain, sleet and freezing rain. 000 SXUS51 KOKX 120157 OSOOKX NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA WEATHER ROUNDUP National Weather Service New York NY 900 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2017 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Central Park PTCLDY 43 25 49 NE5 30.07R LaGuardia APRT MOCLDY 41 28 60 NE3 30.05R Kennedy INTL MOCLDY 41 28 60 NE7 30.06R Newark Liberty CLOUDY 39 28 64 NE7 30.05R WCI 34 Teterboro APRT PTCLDY 41 26 55 N3 30.05R Wall St Helipt NOT AVBL >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> KEY <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< > SKY/WX - SKY CONDITION/PRESENT : R : WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX < > WEATHER : E : VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES < > TMP - TEMPERATURE IN DEG F : M : HX - HEAT INDEX < > DP - DEW POINT TEMPERATURE : A : TC - TEMPERATURE IN < > RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY : R : CELSIUS < > WIND - DIRECTION/SPEED (MPH) : K : VRB - VARIABLE WIND DIR < > PRES - PRESSURE (IN HG) : S : < >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> KEY <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 Most models now have a decent ice event into NNJ.. GFS is the warmest of guidance... as is tradition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Here is the earlier NWS forecast for New York City: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Most models now have a decent ice event into NNJ.. GFS is the warmest of guidance... as is tradition What does this map show exactly. Ex - my town...I get everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, Animal said: What does this map show exactly. Ex - my town...I get everything. Exactly that.. mix bag.. the map shows the ptype accumulation for icp(sleet) freezing rain, rain and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 Upon closer look, GFS made a decent shift south with the LP, didn't really translate to those surface maps, but its improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Exactly that.. mix bag.. the map shows the ptype accumulation for icp(sleet) freezing rain, rain and snow when viewing the NCEP site..it seems to indicate the mix bag line hangs out around I 80 for the event. Total qpf is solid around 0.75-1.00 for the area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Upon closer look, GFS made a decent shift south with the LP, didn't really translate to those surface maps, but its improved About where I believe this storm will wind up. Maybe a slight ticket more south. That being said I also expect this to start exploding South of LI. I think surprises are in store. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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