Mallow Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 83/57/6/0.00 I definitely shot low on the winds. I was thinking they would be lower than last week with no convection, but I think I over-corrected. In the past ten Octobers, I don't think they've ever verified at 6kts. In fact, the lowest they've verified on dry sunny days has been 9kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 In the past ten Octobers, I don't think they've ever verified at 6kts. In fact, the lowest they've verified on dry sunny days has been 9kts. Yeah, I'm gonna get killed on the winds tomorrow. Oh well, that's what I get for making a 5-minute forecast and not thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 There are two other nimbuses this year. One is impersonating me! They are "nimbus" at UW, which is my email from undergrad at UW ([email protected]). And they're doing much better than me so far, in large part because they did a guidance forecast last Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 83/59/11/0 I'm not the nimbus at UW, not sure who that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Already down to 59 at 06z. Looks like a lot of people will be busting high tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike.Ventrice Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 I went 81/56/7... Hoping temps will keep dropping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike.Ventrice Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Calm winds at HOU for the past 10 hours. KHOU 072353Z 02005KT 10SM CLR 24/06 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP176 T02390061 10272 2023955003=KHOU 080053Z 01003KT 10SM CLR 22/07 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP179 T02220067=KHOU 080153Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/09 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP184 T01830089=KHOU 080253Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 17/09 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP188 T01720094 53013=KHOU 080353Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 17/10 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP191 T01670100=KHOU 080453Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 16/10 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP187 T01560100=KHOU 080553Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 15/11 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP184 T01500106 10239 20150402720139 58005=KHOU 080653Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 15/11 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP183 T01500111=KHOU 080753Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 14/11 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP179 T01440111=KHOU 080853Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 14/11 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP178 T01390111 58006=KHOU 080953Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 14/11 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP178 T01440106=KHOU 081053Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 14/11 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP181 T01440106= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 56 as of the 6 hrly report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 I thought something was off when I saw that I was 3rd at Valpo, and 57th in the nation, with a cumulative error of 2580.2... They have 999s in for Day 4. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 83/56/7/0Will be bummed if 55 happens because I had that originally. Edit: It appears the 56 was a between hour obs. Gunn really help as I have moved up 213 spots on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 My 84 isn't looking too good right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 We're up to 80. Hoping they make it to 82 on the next hourly obs. That way I can have hope of squeezing an 83 out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Temp went down with the next obs. That's not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Totally ate sh*t today with the low. Down into the 300s overall. Tonight's low will be interesting. Thinking a few degrees higher than last night with slightly more wind and warmer temps aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Climo Says: 81/56/7/0 (A perfect day for Dr. CCKW!) Edit: Thunder Road and I are tied! Your on Mr. negNAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 82/59/9/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 84/61/10/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 82/58/9/0. Moved up 331 spots today, another good forecast tomorrow would be fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 83 / 58 / 8 / 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Climo Says: 81/56/7/0 (A perfect day for Dr. CCKW!) Edit: Thunder Road and I are tied! Your on Mr. negNAO! You're on, jthyde! I went 83/60/9/0.00 tomorrow. Figured there would be more moisture in the air tonight with the wind coming out of the SE now, and with there actually being a breath of wind tonight rather than last night's CALM streak, 60 would be a good guess. I meant to change the winds to 10 kts but forgot, so let's see if that was a good thing or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Went with 83/60/10/0 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Why's that? It was 81F today. I don't even think 80 is possible tomorrow. Looks a degree or two warmer aloft, plus less wind... I don't understand how it happened, but I was definitely wrong about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 METAR KHOU 090253Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 19/14 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP173 T01890144 51009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 60 for the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Is it just me or is guidance all over the place for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Is it just me or is guidance all over the place for tomorrow? It's not just you. 81 to 87 is quite a range for "believable" forecasts (USL vs GFS-MOS). And quite the range on the low, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 It's not just you. 81 to 87 is quite a range for "believable" forecasts (USL vs GFS-MOS). And quite the range on the low, too. I think the range is bigger than that. lol At least the precip will be easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 This was a bit of a challenge today.... 83/63/9/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 This was a bit of a challenge today.... 83/63/9/0 This is the first day we have such a big gap between our lows. 82/66/9/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Graupel Flux Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 82/63/12/0, come onnnn winds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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